San Diego vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.4%
|
2.83 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.00 |
San Diego
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Diego
29 matches
Philadelphia Union
33 matches
| San Diego | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 51 | Goals For | 63 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 11.61 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 4.64 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and San Diego's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Philadelphia Union.
San Diego sit 9 with 30 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 40:34 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), A. Dreyer (3 goals), D. Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (7 assists), L. Morgan (3 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Philadelphia Union are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 36:39 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Iloski (9 goals), B. Damiani (3 goals), Cavan Sullivan (3 goals), with creative support from F. Westfield (3 assists), B. Damiani (2 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
San Diego
Home
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|