🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.09.2026 01:00
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego
Match Timeline
Philadelphia Union
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
VAR
45'
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🟨
45+2'
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
San Diego
45+5'
Cavan Sullivan · Assist: Indiana Vassilev
Philadelphia Union
🟨
45+7'
Neil Pierre
Philadelphia Union
🔄
60'
Onni Valakari ↔ David Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
60'
Alejandro Alvarado Jr ↔ Aníbal Godoy
San Diego
🔄
60'
Amahl Pellegrino ↔ Cédric Bakambu
San Diego
61'
Cavan Sullivan · Assist: Indiana Vassilev
Philadelphia Union
67'
Bruno Damiani · Assist: Francis Westfield
Philadelphia Union
🔄
70'
Indiana Vassilev ↔ Quinn Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
73'
Elias Achouri ↔ Bryan Zamblé
San Diego
🔄
77'
Cavan Sullivan ↔ Jesus Bueno
Philadelphia Union
🔄
77'
Bruno Damiani ↔ Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
81'
Ian Murphy ↔ Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
San Diego
🔄
86'
Neil Pierre ↔ Japhet Sery Larsen
Philadelphia Union
🔄
86'
Milan Iloski ↔ Malik Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
87'
Aníbal Godoy
Philadelphia Union
90+4'
Malik Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
🟨
90+1'
Oscar Verhoeven
San Diego

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
2.83
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 52.4%
Draw 9.5%
Philadelphia Union Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.64
Philadelphia Union1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
51 GF / 45 GA
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WLDWL
63 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
15
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
20
4.39
Shots on Goal
5.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 29 matches
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 matches
San Diego Statistic Philadelphia Union
11 Wins 12
6 Draws 8
12 Losses 13
51 Goals For 63
45 Goals Against 48
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
15 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 6
4.39 Shots On Goal 5.07
11.61 Total Shots 16
4.64 Corners 6.11
58.2% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and San Diego's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Philadelphia Union.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 9 with 30 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 40:34 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), A. Dreyer (3 goals), D. Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (7 assists), L. Morgan (3 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

Philadelphia Union are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 36:39 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Iloski (9 goals), B. Damiani (3 goals), Cavan Sullivan (3 goals), with creative support from F. Westfield (3 assists), B. Damiani (2 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Missing players: San Diego 4, Philadelphia Union 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)