🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
03.05.2026 01:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: Filip Dujic, USA
San Diego
Match Timeline
Los Angeles FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
15'
David Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
46'
N. Ordaz ↔ D. Martinez
Los Angeles FC
🔄
46'
J. Terry ↔ M. Delgado
Los Angeles FC
🟨
59'
Kenny Nielsen
Los Angeles FC
🔄
60'
R. Raposo ↔ Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
🔄
67'
A. Pellegrino ↔ L. Morgan
San Diego
🔄
67'
L. Bombino ↔ I. Pilcher
San Diego
71'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
72'
J. Ebobisse ↔ T. Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🟨
73'
Ian Pilcher
San Diego
🟨
78'
Aníbal Godoy
San Diego
🔄
79'
S. Eustaquio ↔ M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
82'
D. Bouanga · Assist: Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
🔄
83'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
89'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ W. Eisner
San Diego
🔄
90+8'
dos Santos CJ ↔ D. Ferree
San Diego
🔄
90+9'
K. Nielsen ↔ A. Smolyakov
Los Angeles FC
90'
R. Hollingshead · Assist: M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC

San Diego vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 35.4%
Draw 11.8%
Los Angeles FC Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.32
Los Angeles FC1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WLDWL
37 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
7
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 15 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 20 matches
San Diego Statistic Los Angeles FC
6 Wins 12
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 2
26 Goals For 37
25 Goals Against 14
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.88
10.14 Total Shots 12.88
4.79 Corners 5.18
59% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and San Diego's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Los Angeles FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Diego have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Los Angeles FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 20 points while San Diego sit 11 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 11 with 11 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Dreyer (5 goals), M. Ingvartsen (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), L. Morgan (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 20 points after 10 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Bouanga (4 goals), D. Martinez (3 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (6 assists), T. Tillman (2 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 3 times, Los Angeles FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from San Diego's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: San Diego 4, Los Angeles FC 3
H2H summary: San Diego wins 3, draws 1, Los Angeles FC wins 0

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)