BRAZIL › SERIE D
17.05.2026 20:00
Sampaio Correa
Match Timeline
Parnahyba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Cremosinho
Parnahyba
⚽
37'
Patrik
Sampaio Correa
⚽
45'
Gean
Sampaio Correa
⚽
49'
F. Freitas
Sampaio Correa
⚽
81'
Gean
Sampaio Correa

Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sampaio Correa Win 55.4%
Draw 0%
Parnahyba Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampaio Correa0.5
Parnahyba0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
WWDLW
1 GF / 3 GA
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.17
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 6 matches
Parnahyba Parnahyba 6 matches
Sampaio Correa Statistic Parnahyba
0 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
1 Goals For 7
3 Goals Against 6
0.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Parnahyba's more proactive style and Sampaio Correa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Parnahyba. Parnahyba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while Sampaio Correa sit 5 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Parnahyba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sampaio Correa Analysis

Placed 5 with 4 points from 6 outings, Sampaio Correa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 1:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Peu (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Parnahyba Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 6 games, Parnahyba bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:6, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Junior Barbosa (3 goals), Amilton (1 goals), Cremosinho (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Correa won 2 times, Parnahyba won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Sampaio Correa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Sampaio Correa wins 2, draws 1, Parnahyba wins 1

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)