GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
26 May Stadium
Referee: G. Kruashvili
Samgurali
Match Timeline
Torpedo Kutaisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
K. Zita
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
21'
V. Mamuchashvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
31'
Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
🟨
37'
J. Carlos
Samgurali
🟨
43'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali
🟨
45+1'
Vinicius Vianna
Samgurali
🟨
45+1'
S. Mane
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
46'
K. Zita ↔ V. Bliznichenko
Torpedo Kutaisi
52'
M. Shatirishvili · Assist: Vinicius Vianna
Samgurali
🔄
64'
T. Nadaraia ↔ M. Chitaishvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
66'
D. Deisadze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
70'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ L. Papava
Samgurali
VAR
75'
Wellissol
Samgurali
78'
K. Andric · Assist: V. Bliznichenko
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
83'
S. Mane
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟥
83'
S. Mane
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
85'
J. Carlos ↔ O. Aptsiauri
Samgurali
🔄
85'
N. Tsetskhladze ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
🔄
87'
M. Cherif ↔ L. Kuprava
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
90+2'
Wellissol ↔ A. Jarjue Kabia
Samgurali
🔄
90+2'
I. Janjgava ↔ T. Berelidze
Samgurali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.64
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86%
1.25
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.64
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 36.8%
Draw 14%
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.24
Torpedo Kutaisi1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali Samgurali
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WLDWL
34 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
16
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samgurali Samgurali 24 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 21 matches
Samgurali Statistic Torpedo Kutaisi
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
9 Losses 5
36 Goals For 34
35 Goals Against 18
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
16 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torpedo Kutaisi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Torpedo Kutaisi having the stronger overall control.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 20:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Wellissol (6 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (5 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from Claudio Cebolinha (2 assists), L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), N. Tsetskhladze (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 26 points after 16 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a 27:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Andric (7 goals), G. Arabidze (4 goals), D. Deisadze (3 goals), with creative support from G. Arabidze (8 assists), D. Deisadze (3 assists), V. Mamuchashvili (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 3 times, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:30 from Samgurali's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 3, draws 4, Torpedo Kutaisi wins 8

Lineups

Samgurali
Formation
Torpedo Kutaisi
L. Kutaladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Kvaratskhelia
L. Kvaratskhelia
M. Shatirishvili
M. Shatirishvili
Ryan
Ryan
L. Shergelashvili
L. Shergelashvili
I. Janjgava
I. Janjgava
Vinicius Vianna
🎯
Vinicius Vianna
N. Tsetskhladze
N. Tsetskhladze
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
Wellissol
Wellissol
Claudio Cebolinha
Claudio Cebolinha
F. Kljajic
F. Kljajic
Warley
Warley
S. Mane
S. Mane
D. Bukia
D. Bukia
T. Nadaraia
T. Nadaraia
G. Arabidze
G. Arabidze
M. Cherif
M. Cherif
V. Mamuchashvili
V. Mamuchashvili
K. Zita
K. Zita
D. Deisadze
D. Deisadze
K. Andric
K. Andric
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Kutaladze
2
L. Kvaratskhelia
25
M. Shatirishvili
⚽ 52' 🟨 43'
39
Ryan
27
L. Shergelashvili
5
I. Janjgava
↓ 90+2'
20
Vinicius Vianna
🎯 52' 🟨 45+1'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
↓ 85'
15
J. Carlos
↓ 85' 🟨 37'
11
Wellissol
↓ 90+2'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
⚽ 31' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
21
A. Siukaev
3
A. Jarjue Kabia
↑ 90+2'
6
O. Aptsiauri
↑ 85'
8
T. Berelidze
↑ 90+2'
9
L. Papava
↑ 70'
10
G. Gogolashvili
18
S. Chkhetiani
22
G. Gogia
↑ 85'
33
Jefinho
Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
F. Kljajic
2
Warley
16
S. Mane
🟨 45+1' 🟨 83' 🟥 83'
22
D. Bukia
5
T. Nadaraia
↓ 64'
11
G. Arabidze
6
M. Cherif
↓ 87'
7
V. Mamuchashvili
🟨 21'
18
K. Zita
↓ 46' 🟨 4'
35
D. Deisadze
🟨 66'
9
K. Andric
⚽ 78'
Substitutes
1
O. Goshadze
15
L. Kuprava
↑ 87'
17
V. Bliznichenko
🎯 78' ↑ 46'
19
D. Pertaia
29
M. Chitaishvili
↑ 64'
36
L. Pridonishvili
37
T. Tsikoridze
Last matches: Samgurali
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
17.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
28.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
4
1
W
15.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
1
D
05.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
1
W
17.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
3
0
W
16.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
2
L
18.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ayia Napa
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ararat-Armenia
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Lyngby
1
1
D
H2H: Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
13.06.26
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
21.04.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
4
L
13.09.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
2
L
15.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
26.09.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
0
L
28.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
L
11.04.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
3
1
L
03.11.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
0
0
D
27.08.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
14.05.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
3
W
19.03.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
Last matches: Samgurali
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Alashkert
3
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Kolkheti Poti
5
0
W
H2H at home: Samgurali
13.06.26
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
4
L
15.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
28.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
L
27.08.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
19.03.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
24.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
4
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
2
D
16.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ayia Napa
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ararat-Armenia
1
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Omonia Nicosia
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ordabasy
1
1
D
H2H away: Torpedo Kutaisi
13.06.26
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
4
W
15.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
L
28.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
W
27.08.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
19.03.23
H2H
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 3.44
Home 3.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 2.04
Over 3.0 2.40
Over 3.25 2.71
Under 1.75 3.25
Under 2.0 2.85
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.52
Under 3.25 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 3.40
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.25
Home 3.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.90
Under 2.5 1.90
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.09
Draw 3.28
Home 3.14
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.71
Draw 2.07
Home 3.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.44
Draw 2.46
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.27
Over 2.0 1.35
Over 2.25 1.59
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.35
Over 3.25 2.66
Over 3.5 2.97
Over 3.75 3.58
Over 4.0 5.00
Over 4.25 5.39
Over 4.5 5.75
Over 4.75 7.50
Over 5.5 12.00
Under 0.5 9.60
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 4.90
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 1.75 3.14
Under 2.0 2.74
Under 2.25 2.19
Under 2.5 1.89
Under 2.75 1.69
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.5 1.03

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 5 4 22:15 7 32
W W W L W
2 18 9 4 5 25:17 8 31
L D W L W
3 18 7 7 4 29:20 9 28
W L W L D
4 18 7 6 5 27:28 -1 27
W W L W D
5 18 7 5 6 30:19 11 26
L L L W W
6 18 7 3 8 25:32 -7 24
L W W W L
7 18 7 2 9 18:19 -1 23
W L L L D
8 18 5 6 7 25:25 0 21
L D L W D
9 18 5 6 7 18:24 -6 21
D W W W L
10 18 1 8 9 12:32 -20 11
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2