GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
26 May Stadium
Referee: A. Parjikia
Samgurali
Match Timeline
Saburtalo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali
🟨
27'
L. Shergelashvili
Samgurali
🟨
35'
T. Megrelishvili
Saburtalo
37'
Wellissol
Samgurali
44'
Wellissol · Assist: Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
🟨
45+2'
J. Carlos
Samgurali
🟨
45+2'
V. Bedoshvili
Saburtalo
🔄
46'
A. Amisulashvili ↔ G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🔄
46'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ G. Kutsia
Saburtalo
51'
Claudio Cebolinha · Assist: N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🟨
55'
Ryan
Samgurali
🟨
59'
G. Kutsia
Saburtalo
🔄
66'
A. Bartishvili ↔ Lucas Cafe
Saburtalo
🔄
66'
N. Dadiani ↔ N. Sikharulashvili
Saburtalo
🔄
73'
G. Kobuladze ↔ N. Bochorishvili
Saburtalo
🔄
79'
J. Carlos ↔ O. Aptsiauri
Samgurali
🟨
80'
N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🟨
90'
J. Jinjolava
Saburtalo
🔄
90+4'
Vinicius Vianna ↔ A. Jarjue Kabia
Samgurali
🔄
90+4'
I. Janjgava ↔ T. Berelidze
Samgurali
🔄
90+4'
Wellissol ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
90'
J. Jinjolava
Saburtalo
90'
J. Jinjolava · Assist: N. Bochorishvili
Saburtalo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 32%
Draw 11.2%
Saburtalo Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.19
Saburtalo1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali Samgurali
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WLDWL
25 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samgurali Samgurali 22 matches
Saburtalo Saburtalo 18 matches
Samgurali Statistic Saburtalo
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 4
30 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 17
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Saburtalo's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Saburtalo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Saburtalo. Saburtalo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while Samgurali sit 8 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali sit 8 with 15 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 14:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Claudio Cebolinha (3 goals), Wellissol (3 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), L. Shergelashvili (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Saburtalo Analysis

Saburtalo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 24 points from 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), J. Jinjolava (3 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), G. Kutsia (2 assists), A. Bartishvili (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 4 times, Saburtalo won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Samgurali's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Samgurali - / Saburtalo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 4, draws 3, Saburtalo wins 8

Lineups

Samgurali
Formation
Saburtalo
L. Kutaladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Gegetchkori
L. Gegetchkori
M. Shatirishvili
M. Shatirishvili
Ryan
Ryan
L. Shergelashvili
L. Shergelashvili
N. Tsetskhladze
🎯
N. Tsetskhladze
I. Janjgava
I. Janjgava
Vinicius Vianna
Vinicius Vianna
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
Claudio Cebolinha
🎯
Claudio Cebolinha
Wellissol
⚽ 2
Wellissol
T. Megrelishvili
T. Megrelishvili
G. Kobuladze
G. Kobuladze
A. Amisulashvili
A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
V. Selimovic
J. Jinjolava
⚽ 2
J. Jinjolava
B. Kardava
B. Kardava
P. Ghudushauri
P. Ghudushauri
N. Dadiani
N. Dadiani
V. Bedoshvili
V. Bedoshvili
A. Dzagania
A. Dzagania
A. Bartishvili
A. Bartishvili
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Kutaladze
13
L. Gegetchkori
🟨 24'
25
M. Shatirishvili
39
Ryan
🟨 55'
27
L. Shergelashvili
🟨 27'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
🎯 51' 🟨 80'
5
I. Janjgava
↓ 90+4'
20
Vinicius Vianna
↓ 90+4'
15
J. Carlos
↓ 79' 🟨 45+2'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
⚽ 51' 🎯 44'
11
Wellissol
⚽ 37' ⚽ 44' ↓ 90+4'
Substitutes
21
A. Siukaev
3
A. Jarjue Kabia
↑ 90+4'
6
O. Aptsiauri
↑ 79'
8
T. Berelidze
↑ 90+4'
9
L. Papava
10
G. Gogolashvili
18
S. Chkhetiani
22
G. Gogia
↑ 90+4'
33
Jefinho
Saburtalo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Megrelishvili
🟨 35'
40
G. Kobuladze
↓ 73'
25
A. Amisulashvili
↓ 46'
4
V. Selimovic
5
J. Jinjolava
⚽ 90' ⚽ 90' 🟨 90'
8
B. Kardava
7
P. Ghudushauri
↓ 46'
6
N. Dadiani
↓ 66'
24
V. Bedoshvili
🟨 45+2'
9
A. Dzagania
11
A. Bartishvili
↓ 66'
Substitutes
16
R. Kurtanidze
10
Z. Natchkebia
14
G. Goshteliani
↑ 46'
18
Lucas Cafe
↑ 66'
19
N. Sikharulashvili
↑ 66'
22
G. Khachidze
27
G. Kutsia
↑ 46' 🟨 59'
29
T. Akhvlediani
30
N. Bochorishvili
🎯 90' ↑ 73'
Last matches: Samgurali
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
H2H: Samgurali vs Saburtalo
25.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
07.04.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
0
L
29.08.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
L
28.03.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
0
D
08.12.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
1
1
D
30.09.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
4
L
01.06.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
1
2
W
15.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
3
L
23.11.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
2
D
07.11.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
L
17.09.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
0
W
24.05.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Samgurali
5
1
L
09.04.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
1
W
Last matches: Samgurali
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Alashkert
3
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Kolkheti Poti
5
0
W
H2H at home: Samgurali
25.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
29.08.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
1
L
28.03.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
0
D
30.09.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
4
L
15.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
3
L
17.09.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
1
W
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
02.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Veres Rivne
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Ružomberok
1
1
D
23.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Saburtalo
25.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
L
29.08.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
1
W
28.03.25
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
0
0
D
30.09.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
4
W
15.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
3
W
17.09.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
Samgurali
Saburtalo
2
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2