Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
83.2%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.69 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.87 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Samgurali
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Samgurali
36 matches
Gagra
34 matches
| Samgurali | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 14 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 55 | Goals For | 37 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 4.56 | Total Shots | 3.56 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Samgurali expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gagra in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Samgurali have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gagra.
With 32 points from 27 games and a place of 7, Samgurali still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 38:52 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 27 matches, Gagra have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 7 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Samgurali's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:36 | 11 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 37 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Home
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41:52 | -11 | 35 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 8 |
Gagra
Away
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 17 |
L
D
L
D
D
|