Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gagra Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.49
Gagra1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali
WWDLW
55 GF / 61 GA
Gagra
WLDWL
37 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
25
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
15
4.56
Shots on Goal
3.81
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Samgurali
36 matches
Gagra
34 matches
| Samgurali | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 14 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 55 | Goals For | 37 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 4.56 | Total Shots | 3.56 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 7 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Samgurali's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Samgurali 4-2-3-1 / Gagra 4-4-2
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 7, draws 6, Gagra wins 2
Standings
Umaglesi Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:36 | 10 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 32:23 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 8 | 40 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 36 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Home
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 38:52 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 8 |
Gagra
Away
|
27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:37 | -12 | 29 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 17 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2