Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gagra Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.47
Gagra1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali
WWDLW
41 GF / 41 GA
Gagra
WLDWL
27 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
1.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Samgurali
27 matches
Gagra
25 matches
| Samgurali | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 41 | Goals For | 27 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.33 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 1.33 |
| 0 | Corners | 0.33 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 15.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 7 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Samgurali's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 7, draws 6, Gagra wins 2
Last matches: Samgurali
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
Last matches: Gagra
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
H2H: Samgurali vs Gagra
24.06.26
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
02.03.26
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
2
0
L
07.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
4
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
1
3
W
27.07.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
14.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
30.03.24
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
2
D
05.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
3
0
W
Last matches: Samgurali
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Alashkert
3
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Kolkheti Poti
5
0
W
H2H at home: Samgurali
02.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
02.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
1
1
D
07.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
4
2
W
27.07.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
14.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
02.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
2
D
22.07.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
3
0
W
Last matches: Gagra
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
02.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
L
02.11.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
1
1
D
07.05.25
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
4
2
L
27.07.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
14.05.24
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
L
02.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
2
2
D
22.07.23
H2H
Samgurali
Gagra
3
0
L
Standings
Umaglesi Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Home
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Away
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2