Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
66.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Samgurali
35 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
36 matches
| Samgurali | Statistic | Dinamo Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 12 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 53 | Goals For | 55 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.54 | Shots On Goal | 4.82 |
| 4.27 | Total Shots | 4.25 |
| 5.46 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Samgurali have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Samgurali expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Dinamo Tbilisi in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Samgurali sit 7 with 32 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 34:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Dinamo Tbilisi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 39 points after 24 matches. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 4 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Samgurali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:36 | 11 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dinamo Tbilisi
Away
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 37 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Home
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41:52 | -11 | 35 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 8 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 17 |
L
D
L
D
D
|