GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
26 May Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Samgurali
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
M. Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
N. Tsetskhladze ↔ Jefinho
Samgurali
🟨
49'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali
🔄
52'
N. Khorkheli ↔ Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
🔄
58'
N. K. Donkor ↔ G. Zaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
59'
R. Monteiro ↔ G. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
62'
M. Vatsadze · Assist: R. Ramos
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
63'
G. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
63'
Ryan
Samgurali
🔄
65'
M. Vatsadze ↔ I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
66'
T. Berelidze ↔ O. Aptsiauri
Samgurali
🔄
66'
J. Carlos ↔ L. Papava
Samgurali
🟨
67'
G. Zaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟥
69'
I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
77'
Wellissol ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Samgurali
82'
Ryan · Assist: L. Shergelashvili
Samgurali
🟨
90+3'
M. Makatsaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
90+8'
N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
90+3'
R. Ramos ↔ G. Lomidze
Dinamo Tbilisi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 44.5%
Draw 31.5%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.42
Dinamo Tbilisi1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali Samgurali
WWDLW
23 GF / 24 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
13 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samgurali Samgurali 16 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 15 matches
Samgurali Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
5 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 6
23 Goals For 13
24 Goals Against 21
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
11 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Samgurali have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 8 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:8 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Wellissol (2 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (1 goals), G. Gogolashvili (1 goals), with creative support from N. Khorkheli (1 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), N. Tsetskhladze (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi are currently 8 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Monteiro (2 goals), G. Gvasalia (1 goals), K. Doltmurziev (1 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (2 assists), G. Gvasalia (1 assists), B. Osei (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 4 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Samgurali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.1%)
Predicted formations: Samgurali - / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 4, draws 4, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7

Lineups

Samgurali
Formation
Dinamo Tbilisi
L. Kutaladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Gegetchkori
L. Gegetchkori
M. Shatirishvili
M. Shatirishvili
Ryan
Ryan
L. Shergelashvili
🎯
L. Shergelashvili
N. Tsetskhladze
N. Tsetskhladze
T. Berelidze
T. Berelidze
Vinicius Vianna
Vinicius Vianna
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
N. Khorkheli
N. Khorkheli
Wellissol
Wellissol
M. Makatsaria
M. Makatsaria
G. Gvasalia
G. Gvasalia
A. Kalandadze
A. Kalandadze
N. Ugrekhelidze
N. Ugrekhelidze
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
B. Osei
B. Osei
N. Ninua
N. Ninua
R. Monteiro
R. Monteiro
R. Ramos
🎯
R. Ramos
N. K. Donkor
N. K. Donkor
M. Vatsadze
⚽ 2
M. Vatsadze
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Kutaladze
13
L. Gegetchkori
25
M. Shatirishvili
🟨 49'
39
Ryan
⚽ 82' 🟨 63'
27
L. Shergelashvili
🎯 82'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
↓ 46'
8
T. Berelidze
↓ 66'
20
Vinicius Vianna
15
J. Carlos
↓ 66'
7
N. Khorkheli
↓ 52'
11
Wellissol
↓ 77'
Substitutes
21
A. Siukaev
2
L. Kvaratskhelia
3
A. Jarjue Kabia
5
I. Janjgava
6
O. Aptsiauri
↑ 66'
9
L. Papava
↑ 66'
10
G. Gogolashvili
↑ 77'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
↑ 52'
33
Jefinho
↑ 46'
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
37
M. Makatsaria
🟨 90+3'
2
G. Gvasalia
3
A. Kalandadze
4
N. Ugrekhelidze
6
Leo Santos
24
B. Osei
22
N. Ninua
🟨 90+8'
20
R. Monteiro
↓ 59'
13
R. Ramos
🎯 62' ↓ 90+3'
17
N. K. Donkor
↓ 58'
11
M. Vatsadze
⚽ 33' ⚽ 62' ↓ 65'
Substitutes
38
D. Chochoshvili
7
K. Doltmurziev
9
G. Zaria
↑ 58' 🟨 67'
19
I. Siradze
↑ 65' 🟥 69'
21
D. Kvartskhava
30
G. Lomidze
↑ 90+3'
33
G. Kharebashvili
↑ 59' 🟨 63'
34
Y. Musa
35
S. Diakonidze
Last matches: Samgurali
20.07.26
Fri
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
0
W
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
23.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
1
1
D
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
H2H: Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
18.06.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
L
25.04.26
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
02.02.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
22.10.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
29.04.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0
1
W
20.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
1
W
02.03.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
0
L
29.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
19.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
2
L
10.05.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
Last matches: Samgurali
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Alashkert
3
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Kolkheti Poti
5
0
W
H2H at home: Samgurali
25.04.26
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
22.10.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
29.04.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
05.10.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
1
W
29.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
10.05.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Veres Rivne
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Auda
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
7
L
23.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
1
2
L
H2H away: Dinamo Tbilisi
25.04.26
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
W
22.10.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
29.04.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
05.10.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
1
L
29.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W
25.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
10.05.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2