FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Salon urheilupuisto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SalPa Win 68.6%
Draw 4.2%
VJS Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SalPa1.71
VJS1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
SalPa SalPa
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
VJS VJS
WLDWL
22 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SalPa SalPa 11 matches
VJS VJS 13 matches
SalPa Statistic VJS
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 3
24 Goals For 22
20 Goals Against 13
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VJS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward VJS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 18 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 24:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

VJS Analysis

VJS sit 8 with 13 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, SalPa won 3 times, VJS won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from SalPa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: SalPa wins 3, draws 1, VJS wins 1
Last matches: SalPa
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: VJS
13.06.26
Ykk
VJS
Rops
0
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
VJS
FC jazz
1
1
D
02.06.26
Ykk
VJS
JJK
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KPV-j
5
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
VJS
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KuPS Akatemia
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
VJS
Tampere United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
VJS
SalPa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
VJS
OLS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ykk
VJS
TPV
1
3
L
24.03.26
Fri
VJS
JäPS
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
VJS
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
VJS
KäPa
1
0
W
H2H: SalPa vs VJS
18.04.26
H2H
VJS
SalPa
1
1
D
20.08.22
H2H
VJS
SalPa
0
2
W
29.05.22
H2H
SalPa
VJS
2
1
W
16.10.21
H2H
VJS
SalPa
0
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
SalPa
VJS
1
2
L
Last matches: SalPa
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H at home: SalPa
29.05.22
H2H
SalPa
VJS
2
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
SalPa
VJS
1
2
L
Last matches: VJS
06.06.26
Ykk
VJS
FC jazz
1
1
D
02.06.26
Ykk
VJS
JJK
2
2
D
24.04.26
Ykk
VJS
Tampere United
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
VJS
OLS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ykk
VJS
TPV
1
3
L
24.03.26
Fri
VJS
JäPS
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
VJS
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
VJS
KäPa
1
0
W
H2H away: VJS
29.05.22
H2H
SalPa
VJS
2
1
L
30.06.21
H2H
SalPa
VJS
1
2
W

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:6 19 28
W W W W W
2 13 7 3 3 35:21 14 24
W W L D W
3 11 6 3 2 22:10 12 21
W L D W L
4 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
L W D L L
5
SalPa Home
11 5 3 3 24:20 4 18
W L W W D
6 10 4 3 3 18:12 6 15
D W W L D
7 12 5 2 5 14:19 -5 14
L D D L W
8
VJS Away
10 3 4 3 17:12 5 13
L D D W W
9 12 3 3 6 22:36 -14 12
L D D L W
10 11 2 1 8 16:25 -9 7
L W L L L
11 11 1 4 6 11:21 -10 7
D D L L D
12 11 1 2 8 9:41 -32 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
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