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17.10.2026 14:00
Peninsula Stadium
Referee: S. Jackson
Salford City
Match Timeline
Crawley Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Macaulay Langstaff · Assist: Kallum Cesay
Salford City
⚽
50'
Macaulay Langstaff · Assist: Kallum Cesay
Salford City
⚽
59'
Dylan Morgan
Crawley Town
🔄
61'
Gianmarco Di Biase ↔ Osman Kamara
Crawley Town
🔄
61'
Lewis Richards ↔ Kellan Gordon
Crawley Town
🔄
61'
Priestley Farquharson ↔ Pele Arganese-McDermott
Crawley Town
🔄
66'
Matt Butcher ↔ Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Salford City
🔄
66'
Abraham Odoh ↔ Luke Garbutt
Salford City
🔄
76'
Kai Jennings ↔ Louie Watson
Crawley Town
🔄
76'
Stephen Duke-McKenna ↔ Johnny Russell
Crawley Town
🔄
78'
Kallum Cesay ↔ Ryan Graydon
Salford City
🔄
84'
Luke Molyneux ↔ Nathan Asiimwe
Salford City
🔄
84'
Jorge Grant ↔ Daniel Udoh
Salford City

Salford City vs Crawley Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Salford City Win 72.2%
Draw 7.9%
Crawley Town Win 19.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Salford City1.81
Crawley Town0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Salford City Salford City
W W W W D
11 GF / 4 GA
Crawley Town Crawley Town
D L L L D
6 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Salford City Salford City 14 matches
Crawley Town Crawley Town 11 matches
Salford City Statistic Crawley Town
9 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
26 Goals For 10
15 Goals Against 19
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.5
15 Total Shots 13.63
6.4 Corners 4
57.9% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Salford City's more proactive style and Crawley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Crawley Town. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Salford City expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Crawley Town in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crawley Town having the stronger overall control. Salford City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 16 points compared to Crawley Town in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Salford City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 13:10 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on J. Powell (3 goals), M. Langstaff (2 goals), L. Molyneux (1 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (3 assists), J. Powell (1 assists), K. N’Mai (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Crawley Town Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 24, Crawley Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:13, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through P. Aderoju (2 goals), D. Orsi (1 goals), L. Watson (1 goals), with creative support from D. Orsi (1 assists), K. Gordon (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Salford City won 3 times, Crawley Town won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Salford City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Salford City 5-3-2 / Crawley Town 4-4-2
H2H summary: Salford City wins 3, draws 5, Crawley Town wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 14 4 3 7 15:19 -4 15
W L D L W
19 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
20 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
21 13 3 5 5 9:10 -1 14
L D W L W
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League