FRANCE › LIGUE 2
09.05.2026 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Referee: A. Perreau Niel
Saint Etienne
Match Timeline
Amiens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
J. Duffus · Assist: L. Stassin
Saint Etienne
🟨
21'
Nordine Kandil
Amiens
🟨
28'
Augustine Boakye
Saint Etienne
⚽
40'
J. Duffus · Assist: L. Stassin
Saint Etienne
🔄
56'
J. Duffus ↔ Z. Davitashvili
Saint Etienne
🔄
59'
Y. Rafii ↔ A. Traore
Amiens
🔄
63'
J. Le Cardinal ↔ M. Nade
Saint Etienne
🔄
63'
I. Cardona ↔ D. N'Guessan
Saint Etienne
🔄
67'
C. Louis ↔ E. Somon
Amiens
🔄
68'
S. Ntamack ↔ M. Manitu
Amiens
🔄
68'
T. Monconduit ↔ A. Lo
Amiens
⚽
69'
Z. Davitashvili · Assist: L. Stassin
Saint Etienne
🔄
72'
L. Gadegbeku ↔ A. Moueffek
Saint Etienne
🔄
79'
K. Kaiboue ↔ V. Lobry
Amiens
⚽
82'
L. Stassin · Assist: B. Old
Saint Etienne
⚽
85'
A. Moueffek · Assist: Z. Davitashvili
Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne vs Amiens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Saint Etienne Win 91.7%
Draw 0%
Amiens Win 8.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saint Etienne1.82
Amiens1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
WWDLW
69 GF / 42 GA
Amiens Amiens
WLDWL
50 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
18
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
21
4.57
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 36 matches
Amiens Amiens 38 matches
Saint Etienne Statistic Amiens
19 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 22
69 Goals For 50
42 Goals Against 63
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
18 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 13
4.57 Shots On Goal 3.61
12.83 Total Shots 9.56
4.8 Corners 4.5
58.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Saint Etienne's more proactive style and Amiens's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Amiens. Saint Etienne arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 57 points compared to Amiens in 18 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Saint Etienne expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Amiens in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Amiens having the stronger overall control.

Saint Etienne Analysis

Saint Etienne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 57 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 54:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Z. Davitashvili (13 goals), Lucas Stassin (10 goals), I. Cardona (7 goals), with creative support from A. Boakye (9 assists), I. Cardona (6 assists), Lucas Stassin (5 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Amiens Analysis

With 24 points from 33 games and a place of 18, Amiens still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 37:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Averlant (5 goals), Yvan Ikia Dimi (4 goals), A. Leautey (3 goals), with creative support from Zabi (4 assists), A. Leautey (3 assists), Yvan Ikia Dimi (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Saint Etienne won 5 times, Amiens won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Saint Etienne's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1 / Amiens 3-4-3
H2H summary: Saint Etienne wins 5, draws 4, Amiens wins 2

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
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Relegation