GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Referee: J. Khorava
Saburtalo
Match Timeline
Torpedo Kutaisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
D. Deisadze · Assist: M. Itrak
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
40'
M. Simic
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
42'
N. Dadiani
Saburtalo
🟨
44'
T. Nadaraia
Torpedo Kutaisi
44'
P. Ghudushauri · Assist: N. Dadiani
Saburtalo
🟨
57'
M. Itrak
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
63'
V. Selimovic
Saburtalo
🔄
63'
G. Kokhreidze ↔ A. Basiladze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
73'
A. Bartishvili ↔ G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🔄
73'
V. Bedoshvili ↔ Lucas Cafe
Saburtalo
🔄
74'
M. Itrak ↔ Felipe Pires
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
81'
G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🟨
82'
J. Jinjolava
Saburtalo
🔄
88'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ Z. Natchkebia
Saburtalo
🔄
88'
A. Dzagania ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
Saburtalo
🔄
90+3'
N. Dadiani ↔ T. Akhvlediani
Saburtalo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Saburtalo Win 61.7%
Draw 5.2%
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saburtalo1.24
Torpedo Kutaisi1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WWDLW
23 GF / 14 GA
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WLDWL
25 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saburtalo Saburtalo 15 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 16 matches
Saburtalo Statistic Torpedo Kutaisi
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 4
23 Goals For 25
14 Goals Against 13
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torpedo Kutaisi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Torpedo Kutaisi having the stronger overall control.

Saburtalo Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 20 points from 10 games, Saburtalo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Dzagania (4 goals), J. Jinjolava (3 goals), P. Ghudushauri (3 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), G. Kutsia (2 assists), A. Bartishvili (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 16 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 18:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Andric (3 goals), V. Mamuchashvili (3 goals), A. Basiladze (2 goals), with creative support from G. Arabidze (5 assists), V. Mamuchashvili (3 assists), D. Deisadze (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 5 times, Torpedo Kutaisi won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Saburtalo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Saburtalo 4-3-3 / Torpedo Kutaisi -
H2H summary: Saburtalo wins 5, draws 5, Torpedo Kutaisi wins 5

Lineups

Saburtalo
Formation
Torpedo Kutaisi
T. Megrelishvili
T. Megrelishvili
A. Zohouri
A. Zohouri
A. Amisulashvili
A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
V. Selimovic
J. Jinjolava
J. Jinjolava
P. Ghudushauri
P. Ghudushauri
N. Dadiani
🎯
N. Dadiani
V. Bedoshvili
V. Bedoshvili
G. Kutsia
G. Kutsia
A. Dzagania
A. Dzagania
A. Bartishvili
A. Bartishvili
F. Kljajic
F. Kljajic
M. Cherif
M. Cherif
S. Mane
S. Mane
M. Simic
M. Simic
T. Nadaraia
T. Nadaraia
G. Arabidze
G. Arabidze
M. Itrak
🎯
M. Itrak
V. Mamuchashvili
V. Mamuchashvili
G. Kokhreidze
G. Kokhreidze
K. Andric
K. Andric
D. Deisadze
D. Deisadze
Saburtalo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Megrelishvili
20
A. Zohouri
25
A. Amisulashvili
4
V. Selimovic
🟨 63'
5
J. Jinjolava
🟨 82'
7
P. Ghudushauri
⚽ 44' ↓ 88'
6
N. Dadiani
🎯 44' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 42'
24
V. Bedoshvili
↓ 73'
27
G. Kutsia
9
A. Dzagania
↓ 88'
11
A. Bartishvili
↓ 73'
Substitutes
16
R. Kurtanidze
10
Z. Natchkebia
↑ 88'
14
G. Goshteliani
↑ 73' 🟨 81'
17
I. Bidzinashvili
↑ 88'
18
Lucas Cafe
↑ 73'
22
G. Khachidze
29
T. Akhvlediani
↑ 90+3'
30
N. Bochorishvili
40
G. Kobuladze
Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
F. Kljajic
6
M. Cherif
16
S. Mane
4
M. Simic
🟨 40'
5
T. Nadaraia
🟨 44'
11
G. Arabidze
8
M. Itrak
🎯 6' ↓ 74' 🟨 57'
7
V. Mamuchashvili
10
G. Kokhreidze
↓ 63'
9
K. Andric
35
D. Deisadze
⚽ 6'
Substitutes
1
O. Goshadze
14
Felipe Pires
↑ 74'
15
L. Kuprava
17
V. Bliznichenko
19
D. Pertaia
22
D. Bukia
26
A. Basiladze
↑ 63'
29
M. Chitaishvili
30
T. Antia
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
16.07.26
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
0
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
0
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
0
0
D
17.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
13.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
2
L
28.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
4
1
W
15.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
2
1
W
05.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
1
W
17.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
3
0
W
16.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
2
L
H2H: Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi
01.07.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
10.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
11.03.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
0
L
21.10.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
3
1
L
13.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
01.07.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
28.04.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
0
1
W
05.03.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
0
W
18.09.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
3
D
06.03.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
2
3
W
03.10.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
5
0
L
08.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H at home: Saburtalo
01.07.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
10.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
13.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
01.07.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
05.03.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
0
W
27.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
3
D
08.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
L
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
08.07.26
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
0
3
L
13.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
4
1
W
01.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
2
D
16.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ayia Napa
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ararat-Armenia
1
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Omonia Nicosia
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ordabasy
1
1
D
H2H away: Torpedo Kutaisi
01.07.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
10.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
13.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
01.07.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
05.03.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
3
D
08.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
3
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2