GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Referee: J. Khorava
Saburtalo
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
T. Tsetskhladze ↔ T. Tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
19'
A. Bartishvili
Saburtalo
🟨
26'
T. Askurava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
A. Dzagania ↔ G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🔄
46'
N. Chagunava ↔ S. Mathenjwa
Spaeri
🔄
46'
P. Poniava ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🟨
54'
G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
59'
Z. Golubiani · Assist: S. Gegiadze
Spaeri
🔄
67'
Lucas Cafe ↔ P. Ghudushauri
Saburtalo
🔄
67'
A. Bartishvili ↔ N. Sikharulashvili
Saburtalo
🔄
74'
N. Dadiani ↔ G. Kutsia
Saburtalo
🔄
82'
V. Bedoshvili ↔ G. Khachidze
Saburtalo
🔄
89'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
90+2'
S. Gegiadze ↔ O. Gordeziani
Spaeri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Saburtalo Win 81.2%
Draw 5.7%
Spaeri Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saburtalo1.37
Spaeri1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WWDLW
28 GF / 20 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
33 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
10
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saburtalo Saburtalo 20 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 21 matches
Saburtalo Statistic Spaeri
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
5 Losses 6
28 Goals For 33
20 Goals Against 28
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
10 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spaeri. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Saburtalo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 30 points compared to Spaeri in 7 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Saburtalo Analysis

Placed 1 with 30 points from 16 outings, Saburtalo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 23:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Jinjolava (5 goals), A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), with creative support from G. Kutsia (3 assists), N. Dadiani (3 assists), V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Spaeri Analysis

So far, Spaeri have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 23:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Samkharadze (4 goals), L. Kokhreidze (4 goals), G. Bunturi (2 goals), with creative support from G. Tsirdava (3 assists), Z. Golubiani (3 assists), S. Gegiadze (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 2 times, Spaeri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Saburtalo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Saburtalo 4-3-3 / Spaeri -
H2H summary: Saburtalo wins 2, draws 1, Spaeri wins 0

Lineups

Saburtalo
Formation
Spaeri
T. Megrelishvili
T. Megrelishvili
A. Zohouri
A. Zohouri
A. Amisulashvili
A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
V. Selimovic
J. Jinjolava
J. Jinjolava
B. Kardava
B. Kardava
V. Bedoshvili
V. Bedoshvili
N. Dadiani
N. Dadiani
Lucas Cafe
Lucas Cafe
A. Dzagania
A. Dzagania
A. Bartishvili
A. Bartishvili
B. Putkaradze
B. Putkaradze
N. Chagunava
N. Chagunava
N. Kentchadze
N. Kentchadze
G. Bunturi
G. Bunturi
G. Samkharadze
G. Samkharadze
T. Askurava
T. Askurava
T. Tsetskhladze
T. Tsetskhladze
G. Tsirdava
G. Tsirdava
P. Poniava
P. Poniava
S. Gegiadze
🎯
S. Gegiadze
G. Tsetskhladze
G. Tsetskhladze
Saburtalo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Megrelishvili
20
A. Zohouri
25
A. Amisulashvili
4
V. Selimovic
5
J. Jinjolava
8
B. Kardava
24
V. Bedoshvili
↓ 82'
6
N. Dadiani
↓ 74'
18
Lucas Cafe
↓ 67'
9
A. Dzagania
↓ 46'
11
A. Bartishvili
⚽ 19' ↓ 67'
Substitutes
16
R. Kurtanidze
7
P. Ghudushauri
↑ 67'
10
Z. Natchkebia
14
G. Goshteliani
↑ 46'
22
G. Khachidze
↑ 82'
27
G. Kutsia
↑ 74'
30
N. Bochorishvili
40
G. Kobuladze
19
N. Sikharulashvili
↑ 67'
Spaeri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Putkaradze
22
N. Chagunava
↓ 46'
20
N. Kentchadze
31
G. Bunturi
14
G. Samkharadze
🟨 54'
6
T. Askurava
🟨 26'
10
T. Tsetskhladze
↓ 13'
19
G. Tsirdava
11
P. Poniava
↓ 46'
7
S. Gegiadze
🎯 59' ↓ 90+2'
9
G. Tsetskhladze
↓ 89'
Substitutes
23
N. Chomakhidze
3
L. Kachibaia
4
G. Grigalashvili
5
T. Tsalughelashvili
↑ 13'
13
S. Mathenjwa
↑ 46'
16
S. Dzneladze
21
O. Gordeziani
↑ 90+2'
24
Z. Golubiani
⚽ 59' ↑ 46'
30
Z. Basilashvili
↑ 89'
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
Last matches: Spaeri
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Asiagoal
0
0
D
17.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Pakhtakor
4
3
W
H2H: Saburtalo vs Spaeri
12.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
22.04.26
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
W
20.04.21
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
1
W
Last matches: Saburtalo
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H at home: Saburtalo
12.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
Last matches: Spaeri
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
11.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Asiagoal
0
0
D
17.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Pakhtakor
4
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Ilbirs
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Spaeri
Rustavi
2
2
D
24.07.25
UEF
Spaeri
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
H2H away: Spaeri
12.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2