GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Saburtalo
Match Timeline
Rustavi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
A. Dzagania
Saburtalo
🔄
46'
K. Ceijas ↔ D. Ubilava
Rustavi
🟨
52'
V. Selimovic
Saburtalo
🔄
56'
J. Jinjolava ↔ G. Kobuladze
Saburtalo
🟨
57'
G. Kobuladze
Saburtalo
60'
P. Osei
Rustavi
🔄
70'
Jean ↔ N. Kutateladze
Rustavi
🔄
74'
V. Bedoshvili ↔ Z. Natchkebia
Saburtalo
🔄
74'
A. Bartishvili ↔ G. Kutsia
Saburtalo
🔄
76'
S. Kessi ↔ S. Andghuladze
Rustavi
🔄
83'
P. Osei ↔ B. Jibril
Rustavi
🔄
83'
N. Chikovani ↔ D. Dobranskyi
Rustavi
🟨
85'
P. Ghudushauri
Saburtalo
🔄
88'
A. Dzagania ↔ G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🔄
88'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ G. Khachidze
Saburtalo
90'
V. Patsatsia
Rustavi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Saburtalo Win 69.3%
Draw 5.6%
Rustavi Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saburtalo1.24
Rustavi1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
11
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saburtalo Saburtalo 21 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 24 matches
Saburtalo Statistic Rustavi
10 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
29 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 25
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rustavi. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Saburtalo Analysis

Placed 1 with 30 points from 16 outings, Saburtalo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 23:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Jinjolava (5 goals), A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), with creative support from G. Kutsia (3 assists), N. Dadiani (3 assists), V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Rustavi Analysis

Placed 3 with 26 points from 16 outings, Rustavi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jean (5 goals), A. Gujabidze (3 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 6 times, Rustavi won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Saburtalo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Saburtalo 4-3-3 / Rustavi -
H2H summary: Saburtalo wins 6, draws 1, Rustavi wins 3

Lineups

Saburtalo
Formation
Rustavi
T. Megrelishvili
T. Megrelishvili
A. Zohouri
A. Zohouri
A. Amisulashvili
A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
V. Selimovic
J. Jinjolava
J. Jinjolava
N. Dadiani
N. Dadiani
B. Kardava
B. Kardava
A. Bartishvili
A. Bartishvili
P. Ghudushauri
P. Ghudushauri
A. Dzagania
A. Dzagania
V. Bedoshvili
V. Bedoshvili
P. Beruashvili
P. Beruashvili
M. Kapanadze
M. Kapanadze
David Oliveira
David Oliveira
V. Patsatsia
V. Patsatsia
N. Chikovani
N. Chikovani
Y. Nakano
Y. Nakano
A. Gujabidze
A. Gujabidze
K. Ceijas
K. Ceijas
Jean
Jean
P. Osei
P. Osei
S. Kessi
S. Kessi
Saburtalo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Megrelishvili
20
A. Zohouri
25
A. Amisulashvili
4
V. Selimovic
🟨 52'
5
J. Jinjolava
↓ 56'
6
N. Dadiani
8
B. Kardava
11
A. Bartishvili
↓ 74'
7
P. Ghudushauri
↓ 88' 🟨 85'
9
A. Dzagania
⚽ 42' ↓ 88'
24
V. Bedoshvili
↓ 74'
Substitutes
16
R. Kurtanidze
2
G. Gogsadze
10
Z. Natchkebia
↑ 74'
14
G. Goshteliani
↑ 88'
22
G. Khachidze
↑ 88'
27
G. Kutsia
↑ 74'
29
T. Akhvlediani
30
N. Bochorishvili
40
G. Kobuladze
↑ 56' 🟨 57'
Rustavi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
P. Beruashvili
27
M. Kapanadze
4
David Oliveira
3
V. Patsatsia
⚽ 90'
19
N. Chikovani
↓ 83'
22
Y. Nakano
13
A. Gujabidze
5
K. Ceijas
↓ 46'
9
Jean
↓ 70'
10
P. Osei
⚽ 60' ↓ 83'
11
S. Kessi
↓ 76'
Substitutes
35
J. Roland
2
S. Andghuladze
↑ 76'
6
M. Pami
14
N. Kutateladze
↑ 70'
17
B. Jibril
↑ 83'
18
N. Japaridze
20
D. Dobranskyi
↑ 83'
23
A. Kutateladze
40
D. Ubilava
↑ 46'
Last matches: Saburtalo
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
Last matches: Rustavi
22.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
0
3
L
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
H2H: Saburtalo vs Rustavi
17.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
26.04.26
H2H
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
L
06.10.19
H2H
Rustavi
Saburtalo
0
3
W
02.07.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
2
D
10.05.19
H2H
Rustavi
Saburtalo
3
1
L
10.03.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
03.11.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
25.08.18
H2H
Rustavi
Saburtalo
0
2
W
24.05.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
31.03.18
H2H
Rustavi
Saburtalo
0
2
W
Last matches: Saburtalo
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H at home: Saburtalo
17.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
02.07.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
2
D
10.03.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
03.11.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
24.05.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
W
Last matches: Rustavi
22.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Oleksandria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Sogdiana
3
1
W
H2H away: Rustavi
17.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
W
02.07.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
2
D
10.03.19
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
L
03.11.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
L
24.05.18
H2H
Saburtalo
Rustavi
2
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2