Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Saburtalo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gagra Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saburtalo1.4
Gagra1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saburtalo
WWDLW
37 GF / 30 GA
Gagra
WLDWL
30 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
15
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
1.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Saburtalo
26 matches
Gagra
26 matches
| Saburtalo | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 37 | Goals For | 30 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.33 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 1.33 |
| 0 | Corners | 0.33 |
| 11.8% | Ball Possession | 15.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 12 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:15 from Saburtalo's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Saburtalo 4-3-3 / Gagra -
H2H summary: Saburtalo wins 12, draws 1, Gagra wins 2
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
Last matches: Gagra
15.07.26
Fri
Gagra
BKMA
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
H2H: Saburtalo vs Gagra
20.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
06.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
03.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
3
W
29.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
W
19.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
26.09.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
1
D
28.05.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
4
0
L
11.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
2
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
5
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
01.04.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H at home: Saburtalo
20.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
29.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
W
26.09.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
1
D
11.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
5
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
20.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
L
29.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
L
26.09.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
1
D
11.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
5
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
L
Standings
Umaglesi Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saburtalo
Home
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Away
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2