Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
20.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Saburtalo
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Saburtalo
17 matches
Gagra
18 matches
| Saburtalo | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 18 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Saburtalo's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gagra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gagra. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Saburtalo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Gagra in 9 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Saburtalo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 24 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), J. Jinjolava (3 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), G. Kutsia (2 assists), A. Bartishvili (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Gagra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 11 points from 13 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 11:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 12 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:15 from Saburtalo's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Saburtalo
Rustavi
Saburtalo
Spaeri
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Dila
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Rustavi
Saburtalo
Spaeri
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Gagra
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Dila
Saburtalo
Petrocub
Saburtalo
Dynamo Kyiv
Saburtalo
Veres Rivne
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Saburtalo
Rustavi
Saburtalo
Spaeri
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
Dila
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Shturmi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Saburtalo
Home
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 24 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 12:32 | -20 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
L
|