GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
07.08.2026 16:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: J. Khorava
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Torpedo Kutaisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Jean
Rustavi
🟨
34'
M. Itrak
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
36'
D. Ubilava
Rustavi
🟨
56'
N. Chikovani
Rustavi
🟨
65'
David Oliveira
Rustavi
🔄
65'
M. Itrak ↔ D. Deisadze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
68'
D. Deisadze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
70'
V. Pinson ↔ N. Lominadze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
72'
S. Kessi ↔ S. Andghuladze
Rustavi
🔄
72'
Y. Nakano ↔ G. Chkheidze
Rustavi
🔄
84'
M. Stamatov ↔ G. Kokhreidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
88'
Jean ↔ L. Parkadze
Rustavi
🟨
90+6'
G. Kokhreidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
90+3'
D. Ubilava ↔ N. Japaridze
Rustavi

Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 57.3%
Draw 7.8%
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.16
Torpedo Kutaisi1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
31 GF / 29 GA
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WLDWL
37 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
15
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 26 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 26 matches
Rustavi Statistic Torpedo Kutaisi
11 Wins 10
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 9
31 Goals For 37
29 Goals Against 29
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
15 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Torpedo Kutaisi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Torpedo Kutaisi having the stronger overall control. Torpedo Kutaisi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 19 outings. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 27 points from 19 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 30:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 4 times, Torpedo Kutaisi won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Rustavi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi 4-3-3 / Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 4, draws 3, Torpedo Kutaisi wins 5

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
2 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
3 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
4 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2