GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: B. Kunchulia
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Meshakhte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
53'
G. Papuashvili ↔ N. Abuladze
Meshakhte
🔄
60'
D. Ubilava ↔ K. Ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
67'
M. Pyrogov ↔ M. Jikia
Meshakhte
🔄
67'
M. Kvirkvia ↔ L. Chikhradze
Meshakhte
73'
A. Gujabidze
Rustavi
🔄
85'
T. Sikalo ↔ I. Dgebuadze
Meshakhte
🔄
85'
B. Gabiskiria ↔ L. Kvelaidze
Meshakhte
🔄
90+8'
Y. Nakano ↔ K. Kakashvili
Rustavi
🔄
90+8'
S. Kessi ↔ N. Kutateladze
Rustavi
🔄
90+3'
Jean ↔ D. Dobranskyi
Rustavi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 81.5%
Draw 4.9%
Meshakhte Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.47
Meshakhte0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WLDWL
14 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 23 matches
Meshakhte Meshakhte 19 matches
Rustavi Statistic Meshakhte
9 Wins 2
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 10
28 Goals For 14
25 Goals Against 35
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
14 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rustavi's more proactive style and Meshakhte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Meshakhte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rustavi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 26 points compared to Meshakhte in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Meshakhte arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Meshakhte having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 26 points from 16 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 19:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jean (5 goals), A. Gujabidze (3 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Meshakhte Analysis

With 10 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Meshakhte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats with a 11:30 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Sikharulidze (4 goals), Eric Pimentel (2 goals), T. Patsatsia (2 goals), with creative support from B. Shubitidze (3 assists), T. Patsatsia (1 assists), D. Ghurtskaia (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 9 times, Meshakhte won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:6 from Rustavi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 9, draws 3, Meshakhte wins 2

Lineups

Rustavi
Formation
Meshakhte
P. Beruashvili
P. Beruashvili
M. Kapanadze
M. Kapanadze
David Oliveira
David Oliveira
V. Patsatsia
V. Patsatsia
N. Chikovani
N. Chikovani
Y. Nakano
Y. Nakano
A. Gujabidze
A. Gujabidze
D. Ubilava
D. Ubilava
Jean
Jean
P. Osei
P. Osei
S. Kessi
S. Kessi
L. Shovnadze
L. Shovnadze
B. Gabiskiria
B. Gabiskiria
Eric Pimentel
Eric Pimentel
L. Kurdadze
L. Kurdadze
M. Kvirkvia
M. Kvirkvia
M. Pyrogov
M. Pyrogov
G. Papuashvili
G. Papuashvili
T. Sikalo
T. Sikalo
D. Ghurtskaia
D. Ghurtskaia
G. Burduli
G. Burduli
I. Sikharulidze
I. Sikharulidze
Rustavi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
P. Beruashvili
27
M. Kapanadze
4
David Oliveira
3
V. Patsatsia
19
N. Chikovani
22
Y. Nakano
↓ 90+8'
13
A. Gujabidze
⚽ 73'
40
D. Ubilava
↓ 60'
9
Jean
↓ 90+3'
10
P. Osei
11
S. Kessi
↓ 90+8'
Substitutes
35
J. Roland
2
S. Andghuladze
5
K. Ceijas
↑ 60'
8
K. Kakashvili
↑ 90+8'
14
N. Kutateladze
↑ 90+8'
17
B. Jibril
20
D. Dobranskyi
↑ 90+3'
23
A. Kutateladze
30
G. Chkheidze
Meshakhte 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
L. Shovnadze
26
B. Gabiskiria
↓ 85'
31
Eric Pimentel
20
L. Kurdadze
11
M. Kvirkvia
↓ 67'
30
M. Pyrogov
↓ 67'
6
G. Papuashvili
↓ 53'
22
T. Sikalo
↓ 85'
10
D. Ghurtskaia
13
G. Burduli
9
I. Sikharulidze
Substitutes
1
L. Tkeshelashvili
4
M. Tereladze
5
N. Abuladze
↑ 53'
7
T. Shonia
14
M. Jikia
↑ 67'
16
G. Gegia
19
I. Dgebuadze
↑ 85'
21
L. Chikhradze
↑ 67'
36
L. Kvelaidze
↑ 85'
Last matches: Rustavi
17.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
12.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Oleksandria
0
1
L
Last matches: Meshakhte
18.06.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
L
25.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
1
2
L
20.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
1
4
L
27.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
17.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
16.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
0
0
D
12.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
1
0
W
08.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Zhetysu
2
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Ulytau
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Kokand-1912
0
1
L
H2H: Rustavi vs Meshakhte
13.06.26
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
22.04.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
2
L
05.10.25
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
1
3
W
11.08.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
28.04.25
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
25.11.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
1
0
L
22.09.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
W
20.06.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
1
4
W
29.04.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
W
14.10.16
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.08.16
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
1
2
W
24.04.16
H2H
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
12.11.15
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
Last matches: Rustavi
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shturmi
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
H2H at home: Rustavi
13.06.26
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
2
L
11.08.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
22.09.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
W
29.04.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
W
14.10.16
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
12.11.15
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
Last matches: Meshakhte
25.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
3
L
27.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
17.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
2
2
D
03.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
12.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Zhetysu
2
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Ulytau
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Meshakhte
Kokand-1912
0
1
L
H2H away: Meshakhte
13.06.26
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
2
W
11.08.25
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
L
22.09.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
L
29.04.17
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
5
0
L
14.10.16
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
L
12.11.15
H2H
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 5 4 22:15 7 32
W W W L W
2 18 9 4 5 25:17 8 31
L D W L W
3 18 7 7 4 29:20 9 28
W L W L D
4 18 7 6 5 27:28 -1 27
W W L W D
5 18 7 5 6 30:19 11 26
L L L W W
6 18 7 3 8 25:32 -7 24
L W W W L
7 18 7 2 9 18:19 -1 23
W L L L D
8 18 5 6 7 25:25 0 21
L D L W D
9 18 5 6 7 18:24 -6 21
D W W W L
10 18 1 8 9 12:32 -20 11
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2