Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.1%
|
1.77 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.81 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
1.92 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.68 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Rustavi
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rustavi
28 matches
Gagra
28 matches
| Rustavi | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 35 | Goals For | 33 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0.8 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0.8 |
| 0 | Corners | 0.2 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 9.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rustavi's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Gagra. Rustavi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 35 points compared to Gagra in 8 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Rustavi come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control.
Rustavi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 35 points after 20 outings. The return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 23:18, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Gagra have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 23 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 4 times, Gagra won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:15 from Rustavi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Dila
Rustavi
FC Iberia 1999
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Spaeri
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
Samgurali
Rustavi
Gagra
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Dila
Rustavi
FC Iberia 1999
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Spaeri
Rustavi
Dila
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
Samgurali
Rustavi
Gagra
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
BKMA
Gagra
FC Urartu
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
Gagra
Rustavi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Spaeri
Rustavi
Samgurali
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
Dila
Rustavi
FC Iberia 1999
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
Gagra
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Shturmi
Rustavi
Spaeri
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Shturmi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rustavi
Home
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 24:20 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27:37 | -10 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Gagra
Away
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 24 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 15:40 | -25 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
D
|