GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: T. Samsonashvili
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
A. Yoro · Assist: N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
24'
Y. Nakano · Assist: M. Kapanadze
Rustavi
37'
R. Monteiro · Assist: N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
40'
Jackson Kenio
Rustavi
🔄
46'
P. Beruashvili ↔ J. Roland
Rustavi
🔄
46'
S. Kessi ↔ P. Osei
Rustavi
🔄
46'
N. Ninua ↔ B. Osei
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
52'
N. K. Donkor ↔ D. Kvartskhava
Dinamo Tbilisi
55'
M. Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
60'
D. Ubilava ↔ K. Ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
62'
R. Monteiro ↔ G. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
70'
R. Ramos ↔ I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
70'
M. Vatsadze ↔ J. Onomah
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
72'
Jean ↔ N. Kutateladze
Rustavi
🔄
80'
A. Gujabidze ↔ A. Kutateladze
Rustavi
🟨
90+7'
D. Kvartskhava
Dinamo Tbilisi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 56.4%
Draw 4.6%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.29
Dinamo Tbilisi1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 18 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 18 matches
Rustavi Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
7 Wins 4
6 Draws 8
5 Losses 6
22 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 25
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dinamo Tbilisi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 19 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 13:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jean (4 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), A. Gujabidze (2 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 11 outings, Dinamo Tbilisi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Vatsadze (3 goals), N. K. Donkor (2 goals), R. Monteiro (2 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (3 assists), G. Gvasalia (2 assists), R. Ramos (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 2 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from Rustavi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi - / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 2, draws 2, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7

Lineups

Rustavi
Formation
Dinamo Tbilisi
P. Beruashvili
P. Beruashvili
M. Kapanadze
🎯
M. Kapanadze
I. Iakobidze
I. Iakobidze
V. Patsatsia
V. Patsatsia
K. Tskhadadze
K. Tskhadadze
Y. Nakano
Y. Nakano
A. Gujabidze
A. Gujabidze
D. Ubilava
D. Ubilava
S. Kessi
S. Kessi
Jackson Kenio
Jackson Kenio
Jean
Jean
G. Loria
G. Loria
A. Kalandadze
A. Kalandadze
N. Kurdic
N. Kurdic
N. Ugrekhelidze
N. Ugrekhelidze
S. Kharebashvili
S. Kharebashvili
N. Ninua
🎯
N. Ninua
A. Yoro
A. Yoro
R. Monteiro
R. Monteiro
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
N. K. Donkor
N. K. Donkor
M. Vatsadze
M. Vatsadze
Rustavi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
P. Beruashvili
↓ 46'
27
M. Kapanadze
🎯 24'
24
I. Iakobidze
3
V. Patsatsia
19
K. Tskhadadze
22
Y. Nakano
⚽ 24'
13
A. Gujabidze
↓ 80'
40
D. Ubilava
↓ 60'
11
S. Kessi
↓ 46'
7
Jackson Kenio
⚽ 40'
9
Jean
↓ 72'
Substitutes
35
J. Roland
↑ 46'
4
David Oliveira
5
K. Ceijas
↑ 60'
6
M. Pami
10
P. Osei
↑ 46'
14
N. Kutateladze
↑ 72'
23
A. Kutateladze
↑ 80'
25
A. Mashava
30
G. Chkheidze
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Loria
3
A. Kalandadze
27
N. Kurdic
4
N. Ugrekhelidze
5
S. Kharebashvili
22
N. Ninua
🎯 1' 🎯 37' ↓ 46'
26
A. Yoro
⚽ 1'
20
R. Monteiro
⚽ 37' ↓ 62'
13
R. Ramos
↓ 70'
17
N. K. Donkor
↓ 52'
11
M. Vatsadze
⚽ 55' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
37
M. Makatsaria
7
K. Doltmurziev
18
T. Kvaratskhelia
19
I. Siradze
↑ 70'
24
B. Osei
↑ 46'
25
J. Onomah
↑ 70'
30
G. Lomidze
33
G. Kharebashvili
↑ 62'
21
D. Kvartskhava
↑ 52' 🟨 90+7'
Last matches: Rustavi
22.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
0
3
L
17.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
23.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
1
1
D
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
21.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
H2H: Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
11.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
11.03.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
23.01.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
09.11.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
25.08.19
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
2
2
D
28.05.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
1
L
07.04.19
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
1
L
07.10.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
3
L
03.08.18
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
2
1
L
06.05.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
05.03.18
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
1
2
W
Last matches: Rustavi
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shturmi
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
H2H at home: Rustavi
11.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
23.01.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
09.11.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
28.05.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
1
L
07.10.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
3
L
06.05.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Veres Rivne
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Auda
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
7
L
23.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
1
2
L
H2H away: Dinamo Tbilisi
11.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
W
23.01.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
09.11.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W
28.05.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
1
W
07.10.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
3
W
06.05.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2