UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 10:00
Arena Lviv
Referee: O. Solovyan
Ruh Lviv
Match Timeline
Oleksandria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
T. Cara · Assist: D. Vlasyuk
Oleksandria
🔄
18'
N. Prokopenko ↔ A. Shulyanskyi
Oleksandria
🟨
45+1'
Samba Diallo
Ruh Lviv
🟨
45+1'
Mykola Oharkov
Oleksandria
⚽
45'
Y. Kopyna
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
D. Gordyeyev ↔ V. Raileanu
Ruh Lviv
🔄
46'
V. Runich ↔ B. Almazbekov
Ruh Lviv
🔄
46'
I. Bodak ↔ M. Uhrik
Ruh Lviv
⚽
46'
B. Castillo · Assist: T. Cara
Oleksandria
🟨
51'
Jocelin Behiratche
Oleksandria
🟨
64'
Bryan Castillo
Oleksandria
🔄
72'
B. Castillo ↔ D. Khmelovskyy
Oleksandria
🔄
72'
D. Myshnyov ↔ H. Touati
Oleksandria
⚽
72'
Talles Brener
Ruh Lviv
🔄
79'
S. Diallo ↔ O. Goch
Ruh Lviv
🔄
84'
S. Buletsa ↔ A. Bol
Oleksandria
🔄
86'
↔ K. Kyslyanka
Ruh Lviv

Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ruh Lviv Win 39%
Draw 36.6%
Oleksandria Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ruh Lviv1.22
Oleksandria1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv
WWDLW
19 GF / 46 GA
Oleksandria Oleksandria
WLDWL
20 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.03
10
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
14
1.65
Shots on Goal
1.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv 28 matches
Oleksandria Oleksandria 29 matches
Ruh Lviv Statistic Oleksandria
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 7
19 Losses 20
19 Goals For 20
46 Goals Against 59
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.03
10 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 1
15 Failed To Score 16
1.65 Shots On Goal 1.44
5.54 Total Shots 4.04
2.38 Corners 1.96
26.5% Ball Possession 24%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oleksandria. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ruh Lviv expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Oleksandria in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oleksandria having the stronger overall control.

Ruh Lviv Analysis

Ruh Lviv approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats with a 18:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Faal (9 goals), V. Roman (3 goals), Y. Misyura (3 goals), with creative support from B. Faal (5 assists), Y. Pastukh (3 assists), Ostap Prytula (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oleksandria Analysis

Oleksandria approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 19:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Tedi Cara (4 goals), Hussayn Touati (3 goals), Bryan Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from S. Buletsa (4 assists), Tedi Cara (2 assists), Hussayn Touati (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Ruh Lviv won 2 times, Oleksandria won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Ruh Lviv's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.6%)
Predicted formations: Ruh Lviv 4-1-4-1 / Oleksandria 5-4-1
H2H summary: Ruh Lviv wins 2, draws 8, Oleksandria wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga