CROATIA HNL
19.09.2026 15:00
SC Rudes

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rudes Win 46.3%
Draw 36.9%
NK Slaven Belupo Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rudes1.68
NK Slaven Belupo2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rudes Rudes
WWDLW
17 GF / 33 GA
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WLDWL
31 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.72
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
7
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
14
3
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rudes Rudes 12 matches
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 18 matches
Rudes Statistic NK Slaven Belupo
3 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
8 Losses 10
17 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 37
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
2.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
7 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 3.86
9.14 Total Shots 10.43
3 Corners 3.57
42.3% Ball Possession 40.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring NK Slaven Belupo.

Rudes Analysis

Rudes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 3 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Lenny Ilečić (1 goals), Xavi (1 goals), N. Skoko (1 goals), with creative support from Lenny Ilečić (2 assists), J. Poldrugač (2 assists), V. Celjak (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 8, NK Slaven Belupo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Nestorovski (3 goals), J. Mitrović (1 goals), D. Kovačić (1 goals), with creative support from M. Dabro (2 assists), J. Mitrović (1 assists), K. Išasegi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rudes won 2 times, NK Slaven Belupo won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Rudes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Rudes 4-2-3-1 / NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rudes wins 2, draws 4, NK Slaven Belupo wins 9

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:5 11 16
W W W W W
2 7 5 0 2 17:11 6 15
W L W L W
3 7 4 2 1 13:7 6 14
D D W L W
4 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
D W D W L
6 7 2 3 2 14:12 2 9
W D D L W
7 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
D L L L L
8 7 2 0 5 5:14 -9 6
L W L W L
9
Rudes Home
7 1 0 6 8:22 -14 3
L L L W L
10 7 0 2 5 4:12 -8 2
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL