Login Register
21.11.2026 14:30
Ak Bars Arena

Rubin vs Zenit Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 16.2%
Draw 24.8%
Zenit Win 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.1
Zenit1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
W W L L L
2 GF / 7 GA
Zenit Zenit
W D W W W
13 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
2.23
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
13
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
20
3.21
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 25 matches
Zenit Zenit 31 matches
Rubin Statistic Zenit
11 Wins 22
8 Draws 5
6 Losses 4
32 Goals For 69
24 Goals Against 26
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
13 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 26
7 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 15
5 Failed To Score 3
3.21 Shots On Goal 5.6
11.36 Total Shots 14.47
3.86 Corners 5.27
46.4% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Zenit's more proactive style and Rubin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zenit. Zenit look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Zenit carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Rubin sit 8 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubin expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Zenit in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zenit having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rubin Analysis

With 18 points from 14 games and a place of 8, Rubin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Daku (4 goals), J. Siwe (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Daku (1 assists), A. Arroyo (1 assists), I. Rozhkov (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 14 matches. With 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Glushenkov (10 goals), A. Sobolev (7 goals), Luiz Henrique (3 goals), with creative support from Pedro Henrique (5 assists), M. Glushenkov (4 assists), A. Sobolev (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 3 times, Zenit won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:31 from Rubin's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 5-4-1 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rubin wins 3, draws 1, Zenit wins 11

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Zenit Away
14 10 1 3 32:15 17 31
D W W W W
2 14 10 1 3 23:13 10 31
W W L W W
3 14 9 2 3 27:11 16 29
W W L W D
4 14 7 5 2 25:18 7 26
W L D D L
5 14 7 5 2 23:16 7 26
L D W L W
6 14 5 4 5 18:19 -1 19
D W W D W
7 14 4 6 4 19:20 -1 18
W L W L D
8
Rubin Home
14 4 6 4 14:18 -4 18
W W L L L
9 14 4 5 5 17:15 2 17
L W D D D
10 14 3 8 3 14:14 0 17
L D W D W
11 14 5 1 8 17:26 -9 16
W L L D L
12 14 3 5 6 16:19 -3 14
W L L L D
13 14 3 3 8 15:29 -14 12
L W W D L
14 14 2 6 6 17:25 -8 12
L L W D L
15 14 2 5 7 16:21 -5 11
L L L D W
16 14 1 3 10 9:23 -14 6
L L L W L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL