RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ak Bars Arena
Referee: E. Bulanov
Rubin
Match Timeline
Nizhny Novgorod
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
R. Bezrukov · Assist: V. Hodza
Rubin
🟨
37'
Renaldo Cephas
Nizhny Novgorod
47'
N. Kakkoev
Rubin
🔄
56'
R. Cephas ↔ V. Grulev
Nizhny Novgorod
61'
V. Grulev · Assist: N. Kakkoev
Nizhny Novgorod
65'
V. Grulev · Assist: O. Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
68'
D. Kabutov ↔ A. Jukic
Rubin
🔄
81'
I. Saavedra ↔ O. Ivanov
Rubin
🔄
81'
V. Hodza ↔ A. Zotov
Rubin
🔄
81'
M. Daku ↔ D. Shabanhaxhaj
Rubin
🔄
89'
R. Bezrukov ↔ D. Kuznetsov
Rubin
🟨
90+5'
Egor Teslenko
Rubin
🟨
90+4'
Jacques Siwe
Rubin
VAR
90+3'
Daniil Kuznetsov
Rubin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 44.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
44.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 100%
Draw 0%
Nizhny Novgorod Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.22
Nizhny Novgorod0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
WWDLW
27 GF / 28 GA
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
WLDWL
24 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
9
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
16
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 29 matches
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 29 matches
Rubin Statistic Nizhny Novgorod
11 Wins 6
9 Draws 4
9 Losses 19
27 Goals For 24
28 Goals Against 48
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
9 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 23
10 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 14
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.79
10.1 Total Shots 11.14
3.79 Corners 4.41
43.2% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Rubin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 42 points compared to Nizhny Novgorod in 15 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubin expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Nizhny Novgorod in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nizhny Novgorod having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nizhny Novgorod. Nizhny Novgorod arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Rubin Analysis

Rubin sit 8 with 42 points after 29 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Daku (10 goals), Veldin Hodža (3 goals), D. Shabanhaxhaj (2 goals), with creative support from N. Gripshi (3 assists), U. Iwu (3 assists), Dmitriy Kabutov (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nizhny Novgorod Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod sit 15 with 22 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 24:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), A. Balboa (3 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), O. Olusegun (2 assists), Renaldo Cephas (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 4 times, Nizhny Novgorod won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Rubin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 3-4-3 / Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3
Missing players: Rubin 2, Nizhny Novgorod 4
H2H summary: Rubin wins 4, draws 2, Nizhny Novgorod wins 4
Stats
Rubin Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
7
6 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 14
3 Blocked Shots 7
9 Shots insidebox 19
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
356 Total passes 374
278 Passes accurate 295
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rubin
Formation
Nizhny Novgorod
E. Staver
E. Staver
N. Lobov
N. Lobov
I. Vujacic
I. Vujacic
E. Teslenko
E. Teslenko
D. Kabutov
D. Kabutov
V. Hodza
🎯
V. Hodza
I. Saavedra
I. Saavedra
I. Rozhkov
I. Rozhkov
R. Bezrukov
R. Bezrukov
M. Daku
M. Daku
J. Siwe
J. Siwe
N. Medvedev
N. Medvedev
Y. Koledin
Y. Koledin
N. Kakkoev
🎯
N. Kakkoev
E. Farina
E. Farina
S. Karic
S. Karic
L. Ticic
L. Ticic
A. Sarfo
A. Sarfo
N. Kalinski
N. Kalinski
A. Balboa
A. Balboa
O. Olusegun
🎯
O. Olusegun
R. Cephas
R. Cephas
Rubin 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
38
E. Staver
G
98
N. Lobov
D
5
I. Vujacic
D
2
E. Teslenko
🟨 90+5'
D
70
D. Kabutov
↓ 68'
M
22
V. Hodza
🎯 15' ↓ 81'
M
7
I. Saavedra
↓ 81'
M
51
I. Rozhkov
M
23
R. Bezrukov
⚽ 15' ↓ 89'
F
10
M. Daku
↓ 81'
F
43
J. Siwe
🟨 90+4'
F
Substitutes
25
A. Nigmatullin
G
19
O. Ivanov
↑ 81'
M
21
A. Zotov
↑ 81'
M
27
A. Gritsaenko
D
8
B. Jocic
M
18
M. Apshatsev
M
44
D. Kuznetsov
↑ 89'
M
14
D. Kuzyaev
M
77
A. Jukic
↑ 68'
M
99
D. Shabanhaxhaj
↑ 81'
F
4
K. Nizhegorodov
D
59
D. N. Motorin
M
Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
N. Medvedev
G
3
Y. Koledin
D
22
N. Kakkoev
⚽ 47' 🎯 61'
D
24
E. Farina
D
25
S. Karic
D
29
L. Ticic
M
6
A. Sarfo
M
78
N. Kalinski
M
10
A. Balboa
F
40
O. Olusegun
🎯 65'
F
21
R. Cephas
↓ 56' 🟨 37'
F
Substitutes
51
E. Koshkin
G
81
N. Generalov
G
2
V. Aleksandrov
D
8
M. Maiga
M
17
E. Smelov
M
14
M. Urvantsev
F
77
A. Ivlev
M
27
V. Grulev
⚽ 61' ⚽ 65' ↑ 56'
F
4
I. Kirsch
D
16
Y. Krashevskiy
D
69
A. Sidorenko
M
Last matches: Rubin
11.05.26
Pre
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Rubin
Baltika
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Rubin
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
22.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Dynamo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Akron
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Sochi
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Krylia Sovetov
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Lokomotiv
3
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Pakhtakor
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Navbahor
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Zhenys
2
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rubin
Struga
2
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rubin
IMT Novi Beograd
3
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Rostov
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Zenit
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Akhmat
1
0
W
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
0
0
D
H2H: Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod
17.05.26
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
22.07.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
4
W
09.03.24
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
L
02.07.21
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
0
3
W
24.06.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
Last matches: Rubin
25.04.26
Pre
Rubin
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Akron
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Lokomotiv
3
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Pakhtakor
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Navbahor
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Zhenys
2
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rubin
Struga
2
0
W
22.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Akhmat
1
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Dynamo
0
0
D
19.10.25
Pre
Rubin
Baltika
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Rubin
Krylia Sovetov
2
0
W
12.09.25
Pre
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pre
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Rostov
1
0
W
04.08.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Sochi
2
1
W
27.07.25
Pre
Rubin
Zenit
2
2
D
H2H at home: Rubin
17.05.26
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
2
D
16.03.25
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
L
24.06.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
03.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
25.07.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
H2H away: Nizhny Novgorod
17.05.26
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
2
D
16.03.25
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
1
W
24.06.21
H2H
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8
Rubin Home
30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Rubin 2 missing
-
U. Iwu
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Shvets
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Nizhny Novgorod 4 missing
-
A. Ektov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Lukyanov
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
E. Farina
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Lesovoy
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT