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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
11.10.2026 16:30
Ak Bars Arena
Referee: Ivan Abrosimov
Rubin
Match Timeline
Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
Jakhongir Urozov
Dynamo
VAR
36'
Ilya Samoshnikov
Rubin
🟥
37'
Ilya Samoshnikov
Rubin
🟨
41'
Juan Caceres
Dynamo
🔄
45'
Juan Caceres ↔ Leon Zaydenzal
Dynamo
🟨
55'
Ignacio Saavedra
Rubin
🔄
61'
Ignacio Saavedra ↔ Ugochukwu Iwu
Rubin
🔄
61'
Nikita Lobov ↔ Ruslan Bezrukov
Rubin
🔄
64'
Arthur Gomes ↔ Viktor Okishor
Dynamo
🔄
64'
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↔ Josue Casimir
Dynamo
🔄
78'
Nazmi Gripshi ↔ Ulvi Babaev
Rubin
🔄
79'
Jacques Siwe ↔ Eddie Salcedo
Rubin
🟥
82'
Rubens
Dynamo
VAR
82'
Rubens
Dynamo
🔄
86'
Bitello ↔ Dmitriy Skopintsev
Dynamo
🔄
86'
Konstantin Tyukavin ↔ Ivan Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
86'
Ilya Rozhkov ↔ Daniil Kuznetsov
Rubin
🟨
90+4'
Jakhongir Urozov
Rubin

Rubin vs Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.92
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.5%
1.92 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.84 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.40 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 38.1%
Draw 14.4%
Dynamo Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.34
Dynamo1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
WWDLW
30 GF / 17 GA
Dynamo Dynamo
WLDWL
44 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
13
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
14
3.22
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 20 matches
Dynamo Dynamo 22 matches
Rubin Statistic Dynamo
9 Wins 13
8 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
30 Goals For 44
17 Goals Against 24
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
13 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 3
3.22 Shots On Goal 6
10.89 Total Shots 15.44
4 Corners 4.78
48.3% Ball Possession 61.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Dynamo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubin expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Dynamo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo having the stronger overall control. Dynamo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Dynamo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 19 points while Rubin sit 6 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Rubin Analysis

Rubin sit 6 with 12 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, while the 12:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Siwe (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), M. Daku (2 goals), with creative support from A. Arroyo (1 assists), M. Daku (1 assists), I. Rozhkov (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on K. Tyukavin (4 goals), Arthur Gomes (2 goals), V. Okishor (2 goals), with creative support from Bitello (2 assists), Y. Gladyshev (1 assists), M. Osipenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 4 times, Dynamo won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Rubin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 5-4-1 / Dynamo 4-3-3
Missing players: Rubin 1, Dynamo 0
H2H summary: Rubin wins 4, draws 4, Dynamo wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
2 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
3 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
4 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
5 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
6
Rubin Home
9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL