Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
66.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9%
|
- |
Rouen
Aubagne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rouen
28 matches
Aubagne
29 matches
| Rouen | Statistic | Aubagne |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 4 | Losses | 11 |
| 37 | Goals For | 32 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Rouen's more proactive style and Aubagne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aubagne. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aubagne having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Rouen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 48 points from 28 matches. The record of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 37:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Rocha Santos (9 goals), I. Seydi (8 goals), A. Ba-Sy (5 goals), with creative support from K. Rocha Santos (5 assists), C. Bassin (4 assists), A. Ba-Sy (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Aubagne sit 11 with 33 points after 28 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 32:37 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Bentoumi (7 goals), M. Hamek (6 goals), E. Mayilla (4 goals), with creative support from K. Chaban (5 assists), B. El Kaddouri (3 assists), N. Chibani (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rouen won 1 times, Aubagne won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Rouen's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Rouen
Cannes
Rouen
Al Wakrah
Rouen
Boulogne
Rouen
Laval
Rouen
Laval
Rouen
Fleury 91
Rouen
Versailles
Rouen
Quevilly
Rouen
Concarneau
Rouen
Lens
Rouen
Villefranche
Rouen
Caen
Rouen
Gobelins
Rouen
Stade Briochin
Rouen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Rouen
Orleans
Rouen
Le Puy Foot
Rouen
Chateauroux
Rouen
Valenciennes
Rouen
Sochaux
Aubagne
Thionville Lusitanos
Aubagne
Bastia
Aubagne
Montpellier
Aubagne
Caen
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
Orleans
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
Aubagne
Chateauroux
Aubagne
Valenciennes
Aubagne
Sochaux
Aubagne
Dijon
Aubagne
Fleury 91
Aubagne
Versailles
Aubagne
Quevilly
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Aubagne
Concarneau
Aubagne
Villefranche
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Rouen
Cannes
Rouen
Al Wakrah
Rouen
Laval
Rouen
Versailles
Rouen
Caen
Rouen
Stade Briochin
Rouen
Le Puy Foot
Rouen
Valenciennes
Rouen
Dijon
Rouen
Quevilly
Rouen
Concarneau
Rouen
Villefranche
Rouen
Gobelins
Rouen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Rouen
Orleans
Rouen
Chateauroux
Rouen
Sochaux
Rouen
Fleury 91
Aubagne
Montpellier
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
Aubagne
Valenciennes
Aubagne
Dijon
Aubagne
Versailles
Aubagne
Concarneau
Aubagne
Villefranche
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
Orleans
Aubagne
Seyssinet-Pariset
Aubagne
Chateauroux
Aubagne
Sochaux
Aubagne
Fleury 91
Aubagne
Quevilly
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Aubagne
Caen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Rouen
Home
|
32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Aubagne
Away
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|