ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Aesseal New York Stadium
Referee: A. Young
Rotherham
Match Timeline
Northampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
T. Eaves · Assist: J. Guthrie
Northampton
🟨
28'
Sam Nombe
Rotherham
🔄
39'
M. Kaleta ↔ A. Martha
Rotherham
🟨
46'
Harry Gray
Rotherham
🔄
46'
R. James ↔ D. Gore
Rotherham
58'
H. Gray · Assist: J. Powell
Rotherham
🔄
71'
J. Burroughs ↔ K. Swyer
Northampton
🔄
71'
J. Willis ↔ M. Dyche
Northampton
🔄
73'
K. Spence ↔ E. Adegboyega
Rotherham
🔄
81'
T. Eaves ↔ J. Evans
Northampton
🔄
82'
S. Hoskins ↔ M. Jacobs
Northampton
🔄
82'
E. List ↔ J. Vale
Northampton
84'
E. Adegboyega · Assist: J. Powell
Rotherham
🔄
86'
S. McWilliams ↔ D. Yearwood
Rotherham
🟨
90+2'
Joe Rafferty
Rotherham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Northampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.1
Northampton1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham Rotherham
WWDLW
26 GF / 41 GA
Northampton Northampton
WLDWL
24 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
11
2.96
Shots on Goal
2.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rotherham Rotherham 27 matches
Northampton Northampton 27 matches
Rotherham Statistic Northampton
6 Wins 8
7 Draws 5
14 Losses 14
26 Goals For 24
41 Goals Against 35
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 11
2.96 Shots On Goal 2.7
9.33 Total Shots 8.63
4.48 Corners 4.74
42.2% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 7 times, Northampton won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:7 from Rotherham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rotherham 3-4-1-2 / Northampton 3-4-3
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 7, draws 2, Northampton wins 1
Stats
Rotherham Rotherham
Northampton Northampton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
13 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
332 Total passes 217
244 Passes accurate 135
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rotherham
Formation
Northampton
C. Dawson
C. Dawson
J. Rafferty
J. Rafferty
Z. Jules
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
J. Baptiste
M. Kaleta
M. Kaleta
K. Spence
K. Spence
S. McWilliams
S. McWilliams
R. James
R. James
J. Powell
🎯
J. Powell
H. Gray
H. Gray
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
R. Fitzsimons
R. Fitzsimons
J. Willis
J. Willis
J. Guthrie
🎯
J. Guthrie
C. McCarthy
C. McCarthy
J. Burroughs
J. Burroughs
T. Taylor
T. Taylor
D. Campbell
D. Campbell
N. Guinness-Walker
N. Guinness-Walker
S. Hoskins
S. Hoskins
T. Eaves
T. Eaves
E. List
E. List
Rotherham 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
C. Dawson
G
2
J. Rafferty
🟨 90+2'
D
3
Z. Jules
D
15
J. Baptiste
D
14
M. Kaleta
↓ 39'
M
8
K. Spence
↓ 73'
M
17
S. McWilliams
↓ 86'
M
6
R. James
↓ 46'
M
7
J. Powell
🎯 58' 🎯 84'
F
24
H. Gray
⚽ 58' 🟨 46'
F
10
S. Nombe
🟨 28'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Cann
G
11
A. Martha
↑ 39'
D
16
D. Yearwood
↑ 86'
M
18
L. Agbaire
D
23
J. Holmes
F
36
E. Adegboyega
⚽ 84' ↑ 73'
D
44
D. Gore
↑ 46'
M
Northampton 3-4-3
Starting XI
34
R. Fitzsimons
G
6
J. Willis
↓ 71'
D
5
J. Guthrie
🎯 26'
D
3
C. McCarthy
D
2
J. Burroughs
↓ 71'
M
23
T. Taylor
M
4
D. Campbell
M
12
N. Guinness-Walker
M
7
S. Hoskins
↓ 82'
F
9
T. Eaves
⚽ 26' ↓ 81'
F
10
E. List
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Burge
G
11
K. Swyer
↑ 71'
F
14
J. Evans
↑ 81'
F
17
M. Jacobs
↑ 82'
M
21
J. Perkins
M
27
J. Vale
↑ 82'
F
35
M. Dyche
↑ 71'
D
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
H2H: Rotherham vs Northampton
27.01.26
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
11.10.25
H2H
Northampton
Rotherham
1
2
W
01.04.25
H2H
Northampton
Rotherham
0
2
W
14.12.24
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
0
W
17.03.18
H2H
Northampton
Rotherham
0
3
W
30.09.17
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
0
W
02.02.13
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
1
W
21.08.12
H2H
Northampton
Rotherham
2
1
L
05.05.12
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
1
D
29.10.11
H2H
Northampton
Rotherham
1
1
D
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
27.01.26
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
0
W
30.09.17
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
0
W
02.02.13
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
1
W
05.05.12
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Exeter City
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Blackpool
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Bolton
0
0
D
29.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Huddersfield
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
1
5
L
13.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
3
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Northampton
Oldham
1
3
L
H2H away: Northampton
27.01.26
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
L
14.12.24
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
0
L
30.09.17
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
0
L
02.02.13
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
3
1
L
05.05.12
H2H
Rotherham
Northampton
1
1
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two