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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Rotherham
FT
0 - 3
Cardiff
Aesseal New York Stadium
Referee: S. Stockbridge
Rotherham
Match Timeline
Cardiff
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Ollie Tanner
Cardiff
🟥
21'
Ryan Wintle
Cardiff
🟨
41'
William Fish
Cardiff
⚽
43'
O. Kellyman · Assist: O. Tanner
Cardiff
🔄
46'
J. Powell ↔ A. Martha
Rotherham
🔄
46'
J. Rafferty ↔ B. Cover
Rotherham
⚽
58'
C. Willock · Assist: O. Tanner
Cardiff
🔄
65'
E. Adegboyega ↔ G. Biancheri
Rotherham
🔄
65'
O. Kellyman ↔ D. Turnbull
Cardiff
🔄
65'
C. Willock ↔ C. Ashford
Cardiff
🟨
72'
ArJany Martha
Rotherham
🔄
74'
K. Spence ↔ D. Yearwood
Rotherham
🔄
76'
A. Robertson ↔ R. Kpakio
Cardiff
🔄
77'
O. Tanner ↔ I. Davies
Cardiff
🟨
79'
Sam Nombe
Rotherham
🟨
86'
David Turnbull
Cardiff
🟨
90+3'
Jamal Baptiste
Rotherham
🔄
90+2'
H. Gray ↔ D. Watmore
Rotherham
🔄
90'
G. Osho ↔ C. Chambers
Cardiff
⚽
90'
I. Davies · Assist: D. Turnbull
Cardiff

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cardiff Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.06
Cardiff1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham Rotherham
WWDLW
32 GF / 42 GA
Cardiff Cardiff
WLDWL
52 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rotherham Rotherham 29 matches
Cardiff Cardiff 30 matches
Rotherham Statistic Cardiff
8 Wins 18
7 Draws 6
14 Losses 6
32 Goals For 52
42 Goals Against 30
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 4
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.87
9.69 Total Shots 13.67
4.79 Corners 4.97
42.6% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 2 times, Cardiff won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Rotherham's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rotherham 4-3-1-2 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 2, draws 3, Cardiff wins 9
Stats
Rotherham Rotherham
Cardiff Cardiff
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
385 Total passes 356
305 Passes accurate 290
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Rotherham
Formation
Cardiff
C. Dawson
C. Dawson
J. Rafferty
↓
J. Rafferty
Z. Jules
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
J. Baptiste
E. Adegboyega
↓
E. Adegboyega
K. Spence
↓
K. Spence
J. Powell
↓
J. Powell
R. James
R. James
S. McWilliams
S. McWilliams
H. Gray
↓
H. Gray
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
N. Trott
N. Trott
P. Ng
P. Ng
W. Fish
W. Fish
G. Osho
↓
G. Osho
J. Bagan
J. Bagan
R. Wintle
R. Wintle
A. Robertson
↓
A. Robertson
O. Tanner
🎯 ↓
O. Tanner
O. Kellyman
⚽ ↓
O. Kellyman
C. Willock
⚽ ↓
C. Willock
J. Colwill
J. Colwill
Rotherham 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
C. Dawson
G
2
J. Rafferty
↓ 46'
D
3
Z. Jules
D
15
J. Baptiste
🟨 90+3'
D
36
E. Adegboyega
↓ 65'
D
8
K. Spence
↓ 74'
M
7
J. Powell
↓ 46'
M
6
R. James
M
17
S. McWilliams
M
24
H. Gray
↓ 90+2'
F
10
S. Nombe
🟨 79'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Cann
G
11
A. Martha
↑ 46' 🟨 72'
D
28
B. Cover
↑ 46'
M
20
D. Watmore
↑ 90+2'
F
16
D. Yearwood
↑ 74'
M
18
L. Agbaire
D
29
G. Biancheri
↑ 65'
F
Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
N. Trott
G
38
P. Ng
D
2
W. Fish
🟨 41'
D
4
G. Osho
↓ 90'
D
3
J. Bagan
D
6
R. Wintle
🟥 21'
M
18
A. Robertson
↓ 76'
M
11
O. Tanner
🎯 43' 🎯 58' ↓ 77' 🟨 11'
M
8
O. Kellyman
⚽ 43' ↓ 65'
M
16
C. Willock
⚽ 58' ↓ 65'
M
27
J. Colwill
F
Substitutes
12
C. Chambers
↑ 90'
D
14
D. Turnbull
🎯 90' ↑ 65' 🟨 86'
M
39
I. Davies
⚽ 90' ↑ 77'
F
23
C. Scanlon
D
45
C. Ashford
↑ 65'
F
44
R. Kpakio
↑ 76'
D
47
C. Robinson
F
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
H2H: Rotherham vs Cardiff
07.02.26
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
16.08.25
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
5
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
2
0
L
27.04.23
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
1
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
1
1
D
09.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
18.02.17
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
5
0
L
24.09.16
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
23.01.16
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
2
2
D
19.09.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
2
1
W
03.03.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
3
L
06.12.14
H2H
Cardiff
Rotherham
0
0
D
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
07.02.26
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
04.05.24
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
5
2
W
27.04.23
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
09.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
24.09.16
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
L
19.09.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
2
1
W
03.03.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
3
L
Last matches: Cardiff
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
31.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bradford
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
1
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Cardiff
Peterborough
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
0
1
L
H2H away: Cardiff
07.02.26
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
W
04.05.24
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
5
2
L
27.04.23
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
W
09.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
W
24.09.16
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
2
W
19.09.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
2
1
L
03.03.15
H2H
Rotherham
Cardiff
1
3
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff Away
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham Home
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two