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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
23.10.2026 17:00
Stadion an der Hafenstrasse

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rot-Weiß Essen Win 68%
Draw 3.7%
SSV Jahn Regensburg Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen2.14
SSV Jahn Regensburg1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
WWDLW
41 GF / 24 GA
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
8
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
13
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 17 matches
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 19 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen Statistic SSV Jahn Regensburg
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 6
41 Goals For 37
24 Goals Against 33
2.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
8 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 3
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.2
13.5 Total Shots 10.2
4 Corners 3.5
45.4% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rot-Weiß Essen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SSV Jahn Regensburg in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SSV Jahn Regensburg having the stronger overall control. Rot-Weiß Essen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 18 points compared to SSV Jahn Regensburg in 17 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SSV Jahn Regensburg.

Rot-Weiß Essen Analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 18 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 18:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

SSV Jahn Regensburg Analysis

With 9 points from 9 games and a place of 17, SSV Jahn Regensburg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 20:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Schönfelder (1 goals), L. Hermes (1 goals), with creative support from N. Boujellab (1 assists), D. Philipp (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 times, SSV Jahn Regensburg won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Rot-Weiß Essen's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Rot-Weiß Essen 4-2-3-1 / SSV Jahn Regensburg 3-4-3
H2H summary: Rot-Weiß Essen wins 3, draws 1, SSV Jahn Regensburg wins 0

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 27:12 15 25
D W W W W
2 10 6 2 2 27:14 13 20
D D W W W
3 10 5 3 2 18:13 5 18
L W D D W
4 10 5 2 3 24:17 7 17
W L D W D
5 10 5 1 4 20:15 5 16
W L L W W
6 10 4 3 3 17:19 -2 15
L L W D W
7 10 4 2 4 17:18 -1 14
W W D D L
8 10 4 2 4 15:16 -1 14
W L L W L
9 10 4 2 4 13:15 -2 14
W W L L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
L W D L W
11 10 4 1 5 16:16 0 13
L L W W L
12 10 3 3 4 18:21 -3 12
L L D L D
13 10 3 3 4 12:15 -3 12
D W W L W
14 10 3 3 4 15:19 -4 12
L D D W D
15 10 3 3 4 12:18 -6 12
W D L L D
16 10 3 2 5 15:19 -4 11
W D L L W
17 10 3 2 5 12:17 -5 11
D W D L L
18 10 2 4 4 20:19 1 10
D D W D L
19 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
20 10 1 3 6 13:23 -10 6
D D L L L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation