NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: R. Saggi
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
E. K. Ceide · Assist: A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
D. Duris ↔ A. F. Witry
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
N. Sahsah ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
🔄
62'
H. Falchener ↔ H. Heggheim
Viking
🔄
62'
S. Bjorshol ↔ S. Kvia-Egeskog
Viking
🔄
62'
R. Alte ↔ Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
72'
H. J. Haugen ↔ J. Bell
Viking
🔄
79'
A. Pereira ↔ T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
79'
E. K. Ceide ↔ J. Reitan-Sunde
Rosenborg
81'
P. Christiansen · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
84'
E. Austbo ↔ R. Postema
Viking
90+5'
A. Chiakha · Assist: M. Bomholt
Rosenborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 39.7%
Draw 12%
Viking Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.2
Viking1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
61 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.44
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
17
4.47
Shots on Goal
5.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 24 matches
Viking Viking 25 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Viking
11 Wins 19
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
34 Goals For 61
31 Goals Against 22
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 1
4.47 Shots On Goal 5.87
12.93 Total Shots 14.87
6.53 Corners 6.8
51.8% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Rosenborg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosenborg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Viking. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 37 points while Rosenborg sit 10 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rosenborg Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Rosenborg have collected 18 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Amin Chiakha (7 goals), Iver Fossum (3 goals), Simen Nordli (3 goals), with creative support from Ole Selnaes (5 assists), Emil Konradsen Ceide (3 assists), Mads Bomholt (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 37 points after 15 matches. With 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Peter Christiansen (8 goals), Zlatko Tripić (5 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (3 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 5 times, Viking won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:28 from Rosenborg's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-3-3 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Rosenborg 3, Viking 6
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 5, draws 2, Viking wins 7
Stats
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Viking Viking
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 6
16 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
483 Total passes 398
397 Passes accurate 313
1.24 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rosenborg
Formation
Viking
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Tomáš Nemčík
Tomáš Nemčík
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah
Mads Bomholt
🎯
Mads Bomholt
Ole Selnaes
Ole Selnaes
Dávid Ďuriš
Dávid Ďuriš
Amin Chiakha
🎯
Amin Chiakha
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Arild Østbø
Arild Østbø
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte
Herman Johan Haugen
Herman Johan Haugen
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø
Rosenborg 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Leopold Wahlstedt
G
22
Jonas Svensson
D
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
D
21
Tomáš Nemčík
D
19
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
↓ 79'
D
11
Noah Sahsah
↓ 59'
M
17
Mads Bomholt
🎯 90+5'
M
10
Ole Selnaes
M
29
Dávid Ďuriš
↓ 59'
M
18
Amin Chiakha
⚽ 90+5' 🎯 15'
F
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
⚽ 15' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
15
Jonas Mortensen
↑ 59'
D
16
Aslak Witry
↑ 59'
D
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
↑ 79'
D
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
↑ 79'
F
12
Rasmus Sandberg
G
5
Håkon Volden
D
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
M
28
Elias Slordal
M
30
Maciej Soboczynski
F
Viking 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Arild Østbø
G
18
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
↓ 62'
D
6
Gianni Stensness
D
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
↓ 62'
D
24
Vetle Auklend
D
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
M
29
Tobias Moi
M
16
Ruben Alte
↓ 62'
M
2
Herman Johan Haugen
↓ 72'
F
20
Peter Christiansen
⚽ 81'
F
17
Edvin Austbø
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
5
Henrik Heggheim
↑ 62'
D
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
↑ 62'
M
10
Zlatko Tripić
🎯 81' ↑ 62'
F
8
Joe Bell
↑ 72'
M
11
Romano Postema
↑ 84'
F
30
Ľubomír Belko
G
3
Viljar Vevatne
D
28
Kristoffer Haugen
D
23
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
F
Last matches: Rosenborg
09.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
2
3
L
27.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
Last matches: Viking
18.08.26
UEF
Viking
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
08.08.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
01.08.26
Eli
Viking
Start
3
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
H2H: Rosenborg vs Viking
14.08.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
W
01.05.26
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
2
1
L
28.06.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
3
2
L
18.08.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
W
30.06.24
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
4
2
L
24.03.24
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
5
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
1
5
W
10.04.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
2
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
4
1
W
03.07.22
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
0
0
D
22.09.21
H2H
Viking
Rosenborg
3
1
L
Last matches: Rosenborg
27.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
0
0
D
24.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
5
0
W
H2H at home: Rosenborg
14.08.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
W
28.06.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
W
10.04.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
0
W
04.09.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
4
1
W
Last matches: Viking
18.08.26
UEF
Viking
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
01.08.26
Eli
Viking
Start
3
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
14.08.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
L
28.06.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
L
10.04.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
1
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Viking
4
1
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6 17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Rosenborg 3 missing
-
J. Svensson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
I. Fossum
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. Islamovic
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
Viking 6 missing
-
A. Baertelsen
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
H. Falchener
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Bell
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
K. Haugen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT