NORWAY ELITESERIEN
14.08.2026 17:00
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: R. Saggi
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
E. K. Ceide · Assist: A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
N. Sahsah ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
D. Duris ↔ A. F. Witry
Rosenborg
🔄
62'
H. Falchener ↔ H. Heggheim
Viking
🔄
62'
R. Alte ↔ Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
62'
S. Bjorshol ↔ S. Kvia-Egeskog
Viking
🔄
72'
H. J. Haugen ↔ J. Bell
Viking
🔄
79'
A. Pereira ↔ T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
79'
E. K. Ceide ↔ J. Reitan-Sunde
Rosenborg
81'
P. Christiansen · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
84'
E. Austbo ↔ R. Postema
Viking
90'
A. Chiakha · Assist: M. Bomholt
Rosenborg

Rosenborg vs Viking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 39.7%
Draw 12%
Viking Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.2
Viking1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
61 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.44
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
17
4.44
Shots on Goal
5.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 24 matches
Viking Viking 25 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Viking
11 Wins 19
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
34 Goals For 61
31 Goals Against 22
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 1
4.44 Shots On Goal 5.94
12.69 Total Shots 15.25
6.31 Corners 6.75
52% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Rosenborg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosenborg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Viking. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 37 points while Rosenborg sit 10 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rosenborg Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Rosenborg have collected 18 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Amin Chiakha (7 goals), Iver Fossum (3 goals), Simen Nordli (3 goals), with creative support from Ole Selnaes (5 assists), Emil Konradsen Ceide (3 assists), Mads Bomholt (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 37 points after 15 matches. With 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Peter Christiansen (8 goals), Zlatko Tripić (5 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (3 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 5 times, Viking won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:28 from Rosenborg's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-3-3 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Rosenborg 3, Viking 6
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 5, draws 2, Viking wins 7

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen