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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
10.10.2026 16:00
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: Christian Moen, Norway
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Amin Chiakha
Rosenborg
⚽
6'
A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🟨
20'
Amin Chiakha
Rosenborg
🟨
44'
Ole Selnaes
Rosenborg
🟨
45'
Tobias Borkeeiet
Sandefjord
🟨
51'
Tobias Borkeeiet
Sandefjord
🟥
51'
Tobias Borkeeiet
Sandefjord
🟨
56'
Tomáš Nemčík
Rosenborg
VAR
60'
Evangelos Patoulidis
Sandefjord
🟨
61'
Ole Selnaes
Rosenborg
🟥
61'
Ole Selnaes
Rosenborg
🔄
62'
E. Patoulidis ↔ B. Berntsen
Sandefjord
🔄
63'
J. Svensson ↔ A. F. Witry
Rosenborg
🔄
63'
N. Sahsah ↔ S. Nordli
Rosenborg
🔄
67'
M. Hellan ↔ F. Pedersen
Sandefjord
🔄
67'
G. Hojbjerg ↔ V. Egeli
Sandefjord
⚽
73'
V. Egeli · Assist: S. Mork
Sandefjord
🔄
78'
M. Kjolo ↔ D. Duris
Rosenborg
🔄
80'
E. Gigovic ↔ J. Vester
Sandefjord
🔄
80'
J. Dunsby ↔ E. Pettersen
Sandefjord
🔄
87'
T. Nemcik ↔ M. Mampassi
Rosenborg
🔄
87'
M. Bomholt ↔ I. Fossum
Rosenborg

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
1.34 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.40 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
2.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 81.1%
Draw 3.9%
Sandefjord Win 15.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.55
Sandefjord1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
52 GF / 40 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
13
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
17
5.19
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 30 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 31 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Sandefjord
16 Wins 13
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 11
52 Goals For 42
40 Goals Against 40
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
13 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
5.19 Shots On Goal 4.29
13.62 Total Shots 14.29
6.1 Corners 5.52
52.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Rosenborg's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosenborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sandefjord in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sandefjord. Rosenborg come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rosenborg Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 33 points from 21 games, Rosenborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a 39:30 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Amin Chiakha (12 goals), N. Sahsah (5 goals), E. Ceïde (4 goals), with creative support from O. Selnæs (8 assists), E. Ceïde (5 assists), M. Bomholt (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sandefjord have collected 23 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 21:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Patoulidis (4 goals), Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), E. Pettersen (2 goals), with creative support from O. Kapskarmo (2 assists), A. Foster (2 assists), V. Egeli (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 8 times, Sandefjord won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Rosenborg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-4-2 / Sandefjord 5-4-1
Missing players: Rosenborg 4, Sandefjord 4
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 8, draws 3, Sandefjord wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen