NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: M. Lien
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
J. Svensson
Rosenborg
31'
D. Duris
Rosenborg
🔄
45'
F. Flex ↔ H. Haugen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
46'
A. Ronning ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
🔄
46'
N. Odegard ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
46'
S. Kilen ↔ M. Isah
Kristiansund BK
53'
A. Chiakha · Assist: O. Selnaes
Rosenborg
🔄
55'
O. Selnaes ↔ S. Vaananen
Rosenborg
🔄
62'
J. Isaksen ↔ H. Bruseth
Kristiansund BK
🔄
66'
A. Pereira ↔ T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
66'
D. Duris ↔ D. Islamovic
Rosenborg
🔄
66'
J. Svensson ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
73'
D. Islamovic · Assist: D. Islamovic
Rosenborg
🟨
78'
S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
82'
A. Chiakha ↔ J. Reitan-Sunde
Rosenborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 44.9%
Draw 22.6%
Kristiansund BK Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.18
Kristiansund BK1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
20 GF / 23 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
21 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 18 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 21 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Kristiansund BK
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 9
20 Goals For 21
23 Goals Against 27
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 9
3 Shots On Goal 3.82
11.36 Total Shots 12
5.64 Corners 4.09
50.9% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kristiansund BK. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Rosenborg Analysis

With 9 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Rosenborg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 9:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Amin Chiakha (2 goals), Dino Islamović (2 goals), S. Nordli (2 goals), with creative support from O. Selnaes (2 assists), E. K. Ceide (1 assists), I. Fossum (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Alvheim (5 goals), P. Meliga (3 goals), A. Ronning (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (2 assists), M. Isah (1 assists), A. Munksgaard (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 7 times, Kristiansund BK won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Rosenborg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.5%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-2-3-1 / Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Rosenborg 3, Kristiansund BK 2
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 7, draws 4, Kristiansund BK wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen