NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: S. Sletner
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Aalesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Chiakha · Assist: M. Bomholt
Rosenborg
🟨
5'
Kristoffer Klaesson
Aalesund
29'
K. Lonebu · Assist: M. Andresen
Aalesund
🟨
39'
Tomáš Nemčík
Rosenborg
🔄
46'
O. Selnaes ↔ I. Fossum
Rosenborg
🔄
46'
J. Mortensen ↔ A. Pereira
Rosenborg
50'
M. Christensen · Assist: E. Osenbroch
Aalesund
🟨
55'
Mathias Christensen
Aalesund
🟨
66'
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Aalesund
🔄
68'
S. Nordli ↔ D. Islamovic
Rosenborg
🔄
68'
M. Bomholt ↔ N. Sahsah
Rosenborg
🔄
76'
M. Christensen ↔ D. Johannsson
Aalesund
78'
E. K. Ceide
Rosenborg
80'
E. Osenbroch · Assist: D. Johannsson
Aalesund
🔄
81'
E. Osenbroch ↔ H. Hammer
Aalesund
🔄
81'
M. Reed ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🔄
84'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
🔄
88'
↔ D. Duris
Rosenborg
🟨
90+3'
Dino Islamović
Rosenborg
🟨
90+8'
Elias Heggland Myrlid
Aalesund
🟨
90+3'
Aleksander Kjelsen
Aalesund
🟨
90'
Uba Charles
Aalesund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 98.6%
Draw 0%
Aalesund Win 1.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.37
Aalesund1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
21 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 14 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 14 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Aalesund
6 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 8
14 Goals For 21
15 Goals Against 27
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
5 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 3
3.13 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.38 Total Shots 13.57
6.13 Corners 4.14
49.5% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rosenborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 8 points compared to Aalesund in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Aalesund arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosenborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aalesund. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rosenborg Analysis

Rosenborg are currently 13 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 5:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Nordli (2 goals), Amin Chiakha (1 goals), I. Fossum (1 goals), with creative support from O. Selnaes (2 assists), I. Fossum (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aalesund Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 16, Aalesund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Lonebu (4 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), I. Djantou (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 7 times, Aalesund won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Rosenborg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-4-2 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: Rosenborg 4, Aalesund 4
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 7, draws 5, Aalesund wins 3
Stats
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Aalesund Aalesund
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 0
7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
515 Total passes 263
423 Passes accurate 175
1.13 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rosenborg
Formation
Aalesund
L. Wahlstedt
L. Wahlstedt
J. Mortensen
J. Mortensen
H. Rosten
H. Rosten
T. Nemcik
T. Nemcik
T. Dahl
T. Dahl
M. Bomholt
🎯
M. Bomholt
S. Vaananen
S. Vaananen
O. Selnaes
O. Selnaes
E. K. Ceide
E. K. Ceide
A. Chiakha
A. Chiakha
S. Nordli
S. Nordli
K. Klaesson
K. Klaesson
M. Andresen
🎯
M. Andresen
S. Haram
S. Haram
A. Kjelsen
A. Kjelsen
O. Gudmundsson
O. Gudmundsson
U. Charles
U. Charles
M. Christensen
M. Christensen
E. Hagen
E. Hagen
E. Osenbroch
🎯
E. Osenbroch
K. Lonebu
K. Lonebu
M. Reed
M. Reed
Rosenborg 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
L. Wahlstedt
G
15
J. Mortensen
↓ 46'
D
2
H. Rosten
D
21
T. Nemcik
🟨 39'
D
3
T. Dahl
D
17
M. Bomholt
🎯 3' ↓ 68'
M
6
S. Vaananen
M
10
O. Selnaes
↓ 46'
M
35
E. K. Ceide
⚽ 78'
M
18
A. Chiakha
⚽ 3'
F
7
S. Nordli
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
12
R. Sandberg
G
29
D. Duris
↑ 88'
F
4
M. K. Ceide
D
8
I. Fossum
↑ 46'
M
9
D. Islamovic
↑ 68' 🟨 90+3'
F
19
A. Pereira
↑ 46'
D
25
J. Bakke
M
11
N. Sahsah
↑ 68'
F
5
H. Volden
D
Aalesund 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
K. Klaesson
🟨 5'
G
2
M. Andresen
🎯 29' ↓ 84'
D
4
S. Haram
D
5
A. Kjelsen
3
O. Gudmundsson
D
14
U. Charles
🟨 90'
D
21
M. Christensen
⚽ 50' ↓ 76'
18
E. Hagen
🟨 66'
M
15
E. Osenbroch
⚽ 80' 🎯 50' ↓ 81'
M
39
K. Lonebu
⚽ 29'
F
27
M. Reed
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
26
T. Larsen
G
11
D. Johannsson
🎯 80' ↑ 76'
M
22
E. Engqvist
D
8
H. Melland
M
20
I. Djantou
F
7
K. Nesso
↑ 84'
M
6
H. Hammer
↑ 81'
16
J. Orsahl
17
E. Myrlid
↑ 81' 🟨 90+8'
F
Last matches: Rosenborg
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
28.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
1
4
L
21.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
14.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
1
0
W
Last matches: Aalesund
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H: Rosenborg vs Aalesund
16.05.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
09.02.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
W
27.08.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
4
0
W
02.07.23
H2H
Aalesund
Rosenborg
1
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
W
17.07.22
H2H
Aalesund
Rosenborg
0
0
D
13.06.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
0
W
27.09.20
H2H
Aalesund
Rosenborg
1
2
W
16.08.20
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
3
2
W
26.06.19
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
05.11.17
H2H
Aalesund
Rosenborg
2
1
L
23.04.17
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
0
0
D
16.07.16
H2H
Aalesund
Rosenborg
1
1
D
10.04.16
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
0
W
Last matches: Rosenborg
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
0
0
D
24.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
5
0
W
H2H at home: Rosenborg
16.05.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
09.02.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
W
27.08.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
4
0
W
03.03.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
W
13.06.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
0
W
16.08.20
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
3
2
W
26.06.19
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
23.04.17
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
0
0
D
10.04.16
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
0
W
Last matches: Aalesund
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
H2H away: Aalesund
16.05.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
W
09.02.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
L
27.08.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
4
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
1
L
13.06.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
0
L
16.08.20
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
3
2
L
26.06.19
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
1
D
23.04.17
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
0
0
D
10.04.16
H2H
Rosenborg
Aalesund
1
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:14 8 28
W D D L W
2 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 12 7 1 4 19:11 8 22
W L L W L
5 12 6 2 4 20:15 5 20
D W L W L
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 12 4 2 6 15:22 -7 14
L W D W L
10 12 4 2 6 13:21 -8 14
L W L W L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 12 2 6 4 17:22 -5 12
D D D W W
13 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Rosenborg 4 missing
-
E. Slordal
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
J. Svensson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
A. F. Witry
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Nordli
Questionable Injury
OUT
Aalesund 4 missing
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Aukland
Questionable Knock
OUT