ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: H. Mastrangelo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds 2.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
2.43
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.63
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.1%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 65.9%
Draw 4.1%
Racing Club Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.15
Racing Club1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
37 GF / 25 GA
Racing Club Racing Club
WLDWL
26 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
9
5.08
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 28 matches
Racing Club Racing Club 21 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Racing Club
15 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 6
37 Goals For 26
25 Goals Against 19
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
13 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 5
5.08 Shots On Goal 3.47
13.54 Total Shots 12.21
4.58 Corners 4.21
56.4% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Racing Club. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosario Central expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Racing Club in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Club having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 28 points after 16 matches. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Di Maria (5 goals), E. Copetti (5 goals), A. Veliz (4 goals), with creative support from A. Di Maria (4 assists), J. Campaz (4 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Racing Club Analysis

Racing Club sit 8 with 21 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Adrian Martinez (4 goals), Matías Zaracho (3 goals), T. Conechny (3 goals), with creative support from G. Rojas (4 assists), S. Solari (3 assists), T. Conechny (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 5 times, Racing Club won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Rosario Central's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Racing Club 3-5-2
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 5, draws 3, Racing Club wins 5
Last matches: Rosario Central
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
11.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
Last matches: Racing Club
24.07.26
Lig
Racing Club
Gimnasia L.P.
2
1
W
16.07.26
Cop
Racing Club
Defensa Y Justicia
4
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Huracan
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Barracas Central
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Aldosivi
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
River Plate
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independiente
0
1
L
29.03.26
Cop
Racing Club
San Martin Formosa
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Belgrano Cordoba
2
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
3
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
20.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Banfield
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Argentinos JRS
2
1
W
02.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Tigre
1
3
L
28.01.26
Lig
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
L
H2H: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
28.01.26
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
W
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
04.12.23
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
2
2
D
15.07.23
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
4
3
L
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
08.03.21
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
0
L
23.03.20
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
02.09.18
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
2
0
L
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
W
14.02.15
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
0
1
W
Last matches: Rosario Central
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
2
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Sportivo Belgrano
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Rosario Central
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
W
Last matches: Racing Club
13.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Aldosivi
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independiente
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Belgrano Cordoba
2
1
W
11.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
3
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Banfield
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Tigre
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lig
Racing Club
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Racing Club
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
L
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
L
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
W
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.49
Draw 2.93
Home 2.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.14
Draw 2.02
Home 3.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.65
Over 2.0 1.92
Over 2.25 2.27
Over 2.5 2.63
Over 3.5 5.17
Under 0.5 6.87
Under 1.5 2.68
Under 1.75 2.32
Under 2.0 1.95
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.00
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.95
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.93
Home 2.39
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 1.81
Home 3.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.17
Home 2.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.09
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 2.75 2.87
Over 3.0 3.84
Over 3.25 4.25
Over 3.5 4.65
Over 3.75 6.05
Over 4.0 9.20
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 22.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.35
Under 0.75 5.78
Under 1.0 5.15
Under 1.25 3.29
Under 1.5 2.56
Under 1.75 2.26
Under 2.0 1.86
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.32
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.00
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 1.91
Home 3.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.23
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.68
Over 2.0 1.96
Over 2.25 2.30
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.35
Over 3.5 5.30
Over 4.5 11.00
Under 0.5 6.25
Under 1.25 3.25
Under 1.5 2.45
Under 1.75 2.12
Under 2.0 1.80
Under 2.25 1.58
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.32
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L D W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L W W L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L L W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L L W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W L W D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L W D D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W L D D W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L D L D D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W D L D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D D L D L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
W L L L L
Knockout Phase