ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: D. Herrera
Rosario Central
Match Timeline
Racing Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
41'
M. Zaracho · Assist: Adrian Martinez
Racing Club
🟨
56'
Facundo Cambeses
Racing Club
🔄
58'
B. Rodriguez ↔ A. Fernandez
Racing Club
🟨
63'
Marco Di Cesare
Racing Club
65'
G. Avila · Assist: A. Di Maria
Rosario Central
VAR
74'
Adrián Martínez
Racing Club
🟥
75'
Adrián Martínez
Racing Club
🔄
78'
E. Gimenez ↔ P. Fernandez
Rosario Central
🟨
80'
Adrián Fernández
Racing Club
🔄
82'
T. Conechny ↔ S. Solari
Racing Club
🔄
82'
M. Zaracho ↔ M. Miljevic
Racing Club
🔄
90+1'
A. Sandez ↔ A. Soto
Rosario Central
🔄
91'
M. Rojo ↔ F. Pardo
Racing Club
🟨
96'
Marco Di Cesare
Racing Club
🟥
96'
Marco Di Cesare
Racing Club
🔄
99'
↔ N. Colombo
Racing Club
🟨
100'
Alexis Soto
Rosario Central
🔄
106'
A. Di Maria ↔ M. Ruben
Rosario Central
🔄
106'
A. Veliz ↔ C. Quintana
Rosario Central
106'
E. Copetti
Rosario Central
🟨
111'
Bruno Zuculini
Racing Club
🔄
111'
↔ D. Vergara
Racing Club
🔄
112'
V. Pizarro ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
🔄
115'
E. Copetti ↔ F. Oviedo
Rosario Central
🟨
116'
Nazareno Colombo
Racing Club

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
48.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 50.3%
Draw 9.9%
Racing Club Win 39.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.15
Racing Club0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
30 GF / 17 GA
Racing Club Racing Club
WLDWL
19 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
5.14
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 22 matches
Racing Club Racing Club 18 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Racing Club
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
30 Goals For 19
17 Goals Against 15
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
11 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
5.14 Shots On Goal 3.29
14.05 Total Shots 11.94
4.86 Corners 4.35
56.9% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rosario Central hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Racing Club now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Racing Club controlled more possession in the first leg (71% against 29%). Racing Club carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 3. Racing Club circulated the ball more often, making 482 passes to 204 and completing 397. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosario Central expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Racing Club in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Club having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Racing Club. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 141 points from 89 matches. With - wins, - draws, and - losses plus a goal ratio of 0:0, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on A. Di Maria (5 goals), A. Veliz (4 goals), E. Copetti (4 goals), with creative support from J. Campaz (4 assists), A. Di Maria (3 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Club Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Racing Club arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 144 points after 89 matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at 0:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Adrian Martinez (4 goals), T. Conechny (3 goals), Duván Vergara (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rojas (4 assists), S. Solari (3 assists), T. Conechny (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 5 times, Racing Club won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Rosario Central's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Racing Club 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 5, draws 3, Racing Club wins 5
Stats
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Racing Club Racing Club
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 24
4 Offsides 2
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
12 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
569 Total passes 339
450 Passes accurate 224
2.29 expected_goals 0.65
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Rosario Central
Formation
Racing Club
C. Ledesma
C. Ledesma
E. Coronel
E. Coronel
I. Ovando
I. Ovando
G. Avila
G. Avila
A. Sandez
A. Sandez
F. Ibarra
F. Ibarra
V. Pizarro
V. Pizarro
E. Gimenez
E. Gimenez
A. Di Maria
🎯
A. Di Maria
E. Copetti
E. Copetti
A. Veliz
A. Veliz
F. Cambeses
F. Cambeses
M. Di Cesare
M. Di Cesare
S. Sosa
S. Sosa
M. Rojo
M. Rojo
G. N. Martirena Torres
G. N. Martirena Torres
B. Rodriguez
B. Rodriguez
B. Zuculini
B. Zuculini
M. Zaracho
M. Zaracho
G. Rojas
G. Rojas
Adrian Martinez
🎯
Adrian Martinez
T. Conechny
T. Conechny
Rosario Central 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
23
C. Ledesma
G
32
E. Coronel
D
46
I. Ovando
D
13
G. Avila
⚽ 65'
D
3
A. Sandez
↓ 90+1'
D
5
F. Ibarra
M
20
V. Pizarro
↓ 112'
M
16
E. Gimenez
↓ 78'
M
11
A. Di Maria
🎯 65' ↓ 106'
M
22
E. Copetti
⚽ 106' ↓ 115'
F
9
A. Veliz
↓ 106'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Broun
G
29
M. Ruben
↑ 106'
F
31
F. Navarro
↑ 112'
M
39
F. Oviedo
↑ 115'
F
26
G. Cantizano
F
10
S. Segovia
M
28
P. Fernandez
↑ 78'
M
2
C. Quintana
↑ 106'
D
33
A. Soto
↑ 90+1' 🟨 100'
D
15
F. Mallo Blanco
D
47
L. Raffin
D
42
E. Veron
D
Racing Club 3-5-2
Starting XI
25
F. Cambeses
🟨 56'
G
3
M. Di Cesare
🟨 63' 🟨 96' 🟥 96'
D
13
S. Sosa
D
6
M. Rojo
↓ 91'
D
15
G. N. Martirena Torres
M
20
B. Rodriguez
↓ 58'
M
36
B. Zuculini
🟨 111'
M
11
M. Zaracho
⚽ 41' ↓ 82'
M
27
G. Rojas
M
9
Adrian Martinez
🎯 41' 🟥 75'
F
17
T. Conechny
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
30
M. Tagliamonte
G
18
F. Pardo
↑ 91'
D
19
I. Rodriguez
M
28
S. Solari
↑ 82'
F
44
G. Sosa
M
46
A. Tello
M
7
D. Vergara
↑ 111'
F
10
M. Miljevic
↑ 82'
M
23
N. Colombo
↑ 99' 🟨 116'
D
24
A. Fernandez
↑ 58' 🟨 80'
M
34
T. Rubio
D
58
T. Perez
F
Last matches: Rosario Central
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
11.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
1
W
Last matches: Racing Club
16.07.26
Cop
Racing Club
Defensa Y Justicia
4
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Huracan
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Barracas Central
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Aldosivi
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
River Plate
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independiente
0
1
L
29.03.26
Cop
Racing Club
San Martin Formosa
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Belgrano Cordoba
2
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
3
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
20.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Banfield
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Argentinos JRS
2
1
W
02.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Tigre
1
3
L
28.01.26
Lig
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Racing Club
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
H2H: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
28.01.26
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
2
W
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
04.12.23
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
2
2
D
15.07.23
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
4
3
L
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
08.03.21
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
1
0
L
23.03.20
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
02.09.18
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
2
0
L
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
W
14.02.15
H2H
Racing Club
Rosario Central
0
1
W
Last matches: Rosario Central
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
2
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Sportivo Belgrano
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Rosario Central
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
L
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
W
Last matches: Racing Club
10.05.26
Lig
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Aldosivi
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Racing Club
Independiente
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Belgrano Cordoba
2
1
W
11.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
3
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Banfield
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Racing Club
Tigre
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lig
Racing Club
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Racing Club
13.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
L
30.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
L
29.09.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
22.04.18
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
2
W
21.05.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Racing Club
4
1
L

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W D W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L W W L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L L W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L W W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W D L D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W D D D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D W L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D L D D L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W D L D L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D L D L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L D
Knockout Phase