Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Rosario Central
Independiente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rosario Central
21 matches
Independiente
17 matches
| Rosario Central | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 27 | Goals For | 28 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.1 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 14.05 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.69 |
| 56.8% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Independiente. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Rosario Central come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 141 points from 89 matches. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by A. Di Maria (4 goals), A. Veliz (4 goals), E. Copetti (4 goals), with creative support from J. Campaz (4 assists), A. Di Maria (3 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.
Independiente come into this tie placed 8 in their league with 134 points from 89 matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at 0:0 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on G. Avalos (9 goals), M. Abaldo (5 goals), M. Gutierrez (2 goals), with creative support from G. Avalos (5 assists), I. Malcorra (3 assists), S. Arias (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 4 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Rosario Central's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Rosario Central
6
4
7
2
1
0
Lineups
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
River Plate
Rosario Central
Racing Club
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Tigre
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Huracan
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Banfield
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
Racing Club
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Tigre
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Banfield
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
Sportivo Belgrano
Rosario Central
River Plate
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 159 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
||||
| 2 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 152 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
||||
| 3 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 144 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
||||
| 4 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 144 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
||||
| 5 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 142 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
||||
| 6 |
Rosario Central
Home
|
89 | 0:0 | 0 | 141 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|||
| 7 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 136 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
||||
| 8 |
Independiente
Away
|
89 | 0:0 | 0 | 134 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|||
| 9 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 133 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
||||
| 10 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 132 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
||||
| 11 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 131 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
||||
| 12 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 123 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
||||
| 13 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 120 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
||||
| 14 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 119 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
||||
| 15 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 118 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
||||
| 16 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 115 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
||||
| 17 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 112 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
||||
| 18 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 112 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
||||
| 19 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 111 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
||||
| 20 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 108 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
||||
| 21 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 108 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
||||
| 22 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 108 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
||||
| 23 | 16 | 0:0 | 0 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
||||
| 24 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 100 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
||||
| 25 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 98 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
||||
| 26 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 97 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
||||
| 27 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 94 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
||||
| 28 | 89 | 0:0 | 0 | 89 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
||||
| 29 | 48 | 0:0 | 0 | 41 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
||||
| 30 | 16 | 0:0 | 0 | 5 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
