20.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: P. Dovalo

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.4%
1.57
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.36
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 31.6%
Draw 26.5%
Argentinos JRS Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.03
Argentinos JRS1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
46 GF / 32 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.16
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
17
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
9
4.78
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 38 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 31 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Argentinos JRS
19 Wins 16
9 Draws 10
10 Losses 5
46 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 24
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
17 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
15 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 7
4.78 Shots On Goal 4.9
13.81 Total Shots 13.87
5.39 Corners 5.53
57% Ball Possession 62.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Argentinos JRS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosario Central expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 28 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Á. Di María (3 goals), E. Copetti (3 goals), G. Ávila (2 goals), with creative support from Á. Di María (2 assists), F. Ibarra (2 assists), Carlos Quintana (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 29 points after 16 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Molina (4 goals), Alan Lescano (4 goals), G. Verón (3 goals), with creative support from N. Oroz (3 assists), T. Molina (2 assists), H. López (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 5 times, Argentinos JRS won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Rosario Central's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 5, draws 1, Argentinos JRS wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase