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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
26.09.2026 18:00
Parkstad Limburg
Roda
Match Timeline
Waalwijk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
B. Marsman · Assist: J. Deom
Roda
🔄
56'
J. Deom ↔ X. van den Berg
Roda
🔄
56'
J. Sleegers ↔ C. Seedorf
Roda
🟨
61'
Loek Postma
Waalwijk
🔄
62'
L. Postma ↔ T. van de Loo
Waalwijk
🔄
62'
R. Fage ↔ V. Misidjan
Waalwijk
🔄
62'
F. Stokkers ↔ J. van de Haar
Waalwijk
⚽
73'
C. Seedorf · Assist: X. van den Berg
Roda
🟨
75'
Navajo Bakboord
Waalwijk
🔄
77'
B. Marsman ↔ M. Paulissen
Roda
🔄
77'
A. van den Hurk ↔ F. Schenten
Roda
🔄
79'
N. Bakboord ↔ R. van Hedel
Waalwijk
🔄
80'
Y. van der Veen ↔ A. Dkidak
Waalwijk
🔄
90+1'
J. Nisbet ↔ N. Crabu
Roda

Roda vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Roda Win 51.3%
Draw 4.9%
Waalwijk Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Roda1.63
Waalwijk1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Roda Roda
WWDLW
25 GF / 19 GA
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
8
4.71
Shots on Goal
5.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Roda Roda 13 matches
Waalwijk Waalwijk 15 matches
Roda Statistic Waalwijk
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 8
4 Losses 2
25 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 18
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 11
8 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4.71 Shots On Goal 5.71
11.29 Total Shots 15.71
4.29 Corners 4
50% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waalwijk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Roda expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Waalwijk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waalwijk having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Roda Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Roda have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Tol (2 goals), L. Beerten (1 goals), J. Nisbet (1 goals), with creative support from M. Paulissen (2 assists), D. Dorenbosch (1 assists), Bram Marsman (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Waalwijk Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, Waalwijk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a 18:9 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Keyan Varela (3 goals), F. Al Mazyani (2 goals), J. van de Haar (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo (3 assists), J. Nap (3 assists), Keyan Varela (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Roda won 4 times, Waalwijk won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Roda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Roda 3-4-2-1 / Waalwijk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Roda wins 4, draws 3, Waalwijk wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
Roda Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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