NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

28.04.2026 16:45

Roda

1 - 1

Waalwijk

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Referee: Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands

Roda

Match Timeline

Waalwijk

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Roda vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 70.1%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 80.3%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 86.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	70.1%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	80.3%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	86.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	71.2%	-	▥
HT / FT	Away / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Roda Win 21.4%

Draw 8.5%

Waalwijk Win 70.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Roda1.55

Waalwijk1.69

Recent Form (Last 5)

Roda

WWDLW

59 GF / 54 GA

Waalwijk

WLDWL

71 GF / 59 GA

Key Stats

1.55

Average Goals Scored

1.87

1.42

Average Goals Conceded

1.55

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.13

Shots on Goal

5.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Roda 38 matches

Waalwijk 38 matches

Roda	Statistic	Waalwijk
14	Wins	16
13	Draws	10
11	Losses	12
59	Goals For	71
54	Goals Against	59
1.55	Avg Goals Scored	1.87
1.42	Avg Goals Conceded	1.55
24	BTTS Yes	29
32	Over 1.5	35
23	Over 2.5	27
15	Over 3.5	18
8	Clean Sheets	7
8	Failed To Score	3
5.13	Shots On Goal	5.37
14.03	Total Shots	14.79
5.34	Corners	4.76
52.2%	Ball Possession	50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Roda won 4 times, Waalwijk won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Roda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)

Predicted formations: Roda 4-3-3 / Waalwijk 4-4-2

Missing players: Roda 2, Waalwijk 5

H2H summary: Roda wins 4, draws 3, Waalwijk wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L

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