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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
09.10.2026 18:00
Parkstad Limburg

Roda vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.7%
1.70 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.46 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.2%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Roda Win 84.7%
Draw 6.6%
Jong PSV U21 Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Roda1.88
Jong PSV U211.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Roda Roda
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
4.33
Shots on Goal
6.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Roda Roda 15 matches
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 10 matches
Roda Statistic Jong PSV U21
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
27 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 20
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
4.33 Shots On Goal 6.22
10.22 Total Shots 16.11
3.78 Corners 5.33
49% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Roda's more proactive style and Jong PSV U21's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Jong PSV U21. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Roda expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Jong PSV U21 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong PSV U21 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Roda Analysis

Roda are currently 6 in the standings with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Tol (2 goals), Bram Marsman (1 goals), L. Beerten (1 goals), with creative support from M. Paulissen (2 assists), Bram Marsman (1 assists), D. Dorenbosch (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Jong PSV U21 Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Jong PSV U21 have collected 12 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Jones (4 goals), F. Kluit (2 goals), S. Cornecion (2 goals), with creative support from F. Kluit (3 assists), S. Sidibe (2 assists), B. Mulders (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Roda won 8 times, Jong PSV U21 won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:23 from Roda's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Roda 3-4-2-1 / Jong PSV U21 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Roda wins 8, draws 5, Jong PSV U21 wins 2

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 28:12 16 22
D W L W W
2 9 6 1 2 19:7 12 19
W L W W L
3 9 6 0 3 23:14 9 18
W L W W L
4 9 5 1 3 19:18 1 16
D W L L W
5 9 5 1 3 13:19 -6 16
L W L L D
6
Roda Home
9 4 3 2 9:7 2 15
L W D W D
7 9 3 5 1 19:12 7 14
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 15:13 2 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 19:19 0 14
D W W L L
10 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
11 9 4 0 5 20:17 3 12
L W L W L
12 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
13 9 3 2 4 15:19 -4 11
D L W W D
14 9 2 3 4 15:16 -1 9
D L L W W
15 9 3 0 6 12:14 -2 9
W L W L L
16 9 2 2 5 13:18 -5 8
D L W L L
17 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
18 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
D W L L L
19 9 2 2 5 11:22 -11 8
D W L W L
20 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
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