ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
25.04.2026 11:30
Spotland Stadium
Rochdale
Match Timeline
York
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
O. Banks
York
🟨
35'
R. East
Rochdale
🟨
59'
H. Gilmour
Rochdale
🔄
67'
R. East ↔ C. Pettit
Rochdale
🔄
67'
L. Hannant ↔ A. Barlow
Rochdale
🔄
67'
D. Rodney ↔ I. Henderson
Rochdale
🔄
69'
J. King ↔ R. Fallowfield
York
🔄
69'
A. Hunt ↔ J. Grey
York
🔄
69'
O. Banks ↔ D. Batty
York
🔄
75'
B. Brookes ↔ C. Howe
York
🔄
76'
T. Adebayo-Rowling ↔ J. Pritchard
Rochdale
🔄
84'
H. Gilmour ↔ T. Smith
Rochdale
🔄
88'
O. Pearce ↔ G. Olley
York
🟨
90+2'
J. Pritchard
Rochdale
🟨
90+6'
T. Smith
Rochdale
🟨
90+6'
E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
🟨
90+13'
J. Stones
York
90'
E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
90'
J. Stones
York

Rochdale vs York Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 41.8%
Draw 4.3%
York Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.5
York1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
90 GF / 43 GA
York York
WLDWL
118 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.46
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
27
BTTS Yes
28
28
Over 2.5
35
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 48 matches
York York 48 matches
Rochdale Statistic York
34 Wins 34
7 Draws 9
7 Losses 5
90 Goals For 118
43 Goals Against 45
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.46
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
27 BTTS Yes 28
38 Over 1.5 42
28 Over 2.5 35
13 Over 3.5 24
21 Clean Sheets 19
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward York having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward York. York look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rochdale Analysis

Rochdale approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 105 points after 45 outings. They have recorded 33 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 85:39 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Dieseruvwe (25 goals), D. Rodney (8 goals), I. Henderson (8 goals), with creative support from T. Adebayo-Rowling (9 assists), D. Rodney (8 assists), E. Dieseruvwe (7 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 18 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

York Analysis

York approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 107 points after 45 outings. The return of 33 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 110:40, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Pearce (34 goals), J. Stones (16 goals), A. Newby (12 goals), with creative support from O. Banks (10 assists), O. Pearce (9 assists), J. Stones (7 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 1 times, York won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Rochdale's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Rochdale 4-2-3-1 / York 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 1, draws 5, York wins 5

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
York Away
46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation