ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Spotland Stadium
Rochdale
Match Timeline
York
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
O. Banks
York
🟨
35'
R. East
Rochdale
🟨
59'
H. Gilmour
Rochdale
🔄
67'
R. East ↔ C. Pettit
Rochdale
🔄
67'
L. Hannant ↔ A. Barlow
Rochdale
🔄
67'
D. Rodney ↔ I. Henderson
Rochdale
🔄
69'
J. King ↔ R. Fallowfield
York
🔄
69'
A. Hunt ↔ J. Grey
York
🔄
69'
O. Banks ↔ D. Batty
York
🔄
75'
B. Brookes ↔ C. Howe
York
🔄
76'
T. Adebayo-Rowling ↔ J. Pritchard
Rochdale
🔄
84'
H. Gilmour ↔ T. Smith
Rochdale
🔄
88'
O. Pearce ↔ G. Olley
York
🟨
90+2'
J. Pritchard
Rochdale
🟨
90+6'
T. Smith
Rochdale
🟨
90+6'
E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
🟨
90+13'
J. Stones
York
90'
E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
90'
J. Stones
York

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 41.8%
Draw 4.3%
York Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.5
York1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
90 GF / 43 GA
York York
WLDWL
118 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.46
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
27
BTTS Yes
28
28
Over 2.5
35
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 48 matches
York York 48 matches
Rochdale Statistic York
34 Wins 34
7 Draws 9
7 Losses 5
90 Goals For 118
43 Goals Against 45
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.46
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
27 BTTS Yes 28
38 Over 1.5 42
28 Over 2.5 35
13 Over 3.5 24
21 Clean Sheets 19
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward York having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward York. York look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rochdale Analysis

Rochdale approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 105 points after 45 outings. They have recorded 33 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 85:39 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Dieseruvwe (25 goals), D. Rodney (8 goals), I. Henderson (8 goals), with creative support from T. Adebayo-Rowling (9 assists), D. Rodney (8 assists), E. Dieseruvwe (7 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 18 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

York Analysis

York approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 107 points after 45 outings. The return of 33 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 110:40, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Pearce (34 goals), J. Stones (16 goals), A. Newby (12 goals), with creative support from O. Banks (10 assists), O. Pearce (9 assists), J. Stones (7 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 1 times, York won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Rochdale's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 1, draws 5, York wins 5

Lineups

Rochdale
Formation
York
O. Whatmuff
O. Whatmuff
K. Gordon
K. Gordon
E. Ebanks-Landell
E. Ebanks-Landell
C. Perry
C. Perry
H. Gilmour
H. Gilmour
R. East
R. East
T. Adebayo-Rowling
T. Adebayo-Rowling
D. Rodney
D. Rodney
L. Hannant
L. Hannant
D. Moss
D. Moss
E. Dieseruvwe
E. Dieseruvwe
H. Male
H. Male
J. King
J. King
M. Fagan-Walcott
M. Fagan-Walcott
Z. Johnson
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
M. Kitching
A. Hunt
A. Hunt
H. Boateng
H. Boateng
B. Brookes
B. Brookes
O. Banks
O. Banks
O. Pearce
O. Pearce
J. Stones
J. Stones
Rochdale 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Whatmuff
2
K. Gordon
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
25
C. Perry
8
H. Gilmour
↓ 84' 🟨 59'
4
R. East
↓ 67' 🟨 35'
14
T. Adebayo-Rowling
↓ 76'
10
D. Rodney
↓ 67'
12
L. Hannant
↓ 67'
22
D. Moss
9
E. Dieseruvwe
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+6'
Substitutes
16
C. Pettit
↑ 67'
17
J. Pritchard
↑ 76' 🟨 90+2'
18
A. Barlow
↑ 67'
35
A. Baptiste
36
E. Francis
38
T. Smith
↑ 84' 🟨 90+6'
40
I. Henderson
↑ 67'
York 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Male
15
J. King
↓ 69'
4
M. Fagan-Walcott
29
Z. Johnson
3
M. Kitching
8
A. Hunt
↓ 69'
21
H. Boateng
14
B. Brookes
↓ 75'
28
O. Banks
↓ 69' 🟨 23'
10
O. Pearce
↓ 88'
9
J. Stones
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+13'
Substitutes
31
G. Sykes-Kenworthy
2
R. Fallowfield
↑ 69'
5
C. Howe
↑ 75'
12
J. Grey
↑ 69'
18
D. Batty
↑ 69'
22
G. Olley
↑ 88'
30
A. Newby
Last matches: Rochdale
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
3
0
W
17.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
2
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
Last matches: York
18.04.26
Nat
York
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
York
Tamworth
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
York
Boston United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
York
Woking
1
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
York
Gateshead
1
3
L
21.03.26
Nat
York
Brackley Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
3
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
York
Eastleigh
3
1
W
03.03.26
Nat
York
Boreham Wood
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
York
Morecambe
1
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
York
Scunthorpe
3
0
W
21.02.26
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
4
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
York
Wealdstone
3
0
W
11.02.26
Nat
York
Hartlepool
3
2
W
07.02.26
Nat
York
Forest Green
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
York
Solihull Moors
2
0
W
24.01.26
Nat
York
Braintree
5
0
W
21.01.26
Nat
York
Carlisle
3
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
York
Southend
1
1
D
H2H: Rochdale vs York
25.04.26
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.11.25
H2H
York
Rochdale
4
1
L
11.10.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
2
L
25.03.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
4
L
20.08.24
H2H
York
Rochdale
1
0
L
16.12.23
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
28.08.23
H2H
York
Rochdale
1
3
W
05.04.14
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
30.11.13
H2H
York
Rochdale
0
0
D
12.03.13
H2H
York
Rochdale
0
0
D
01.12.12
H2H
Rochdale
York
2
3
L
Last matches: Rochdale
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
3
0
W
17.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
2
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
03.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
4
1
W
27.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Truro City
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
1
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
2
0
W
15.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
1
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
11.10.25
FA
Rochdale
York
1
2
L
01.10.25
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
1
2
L
23.09.25
Nat
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
4
1
W
H2H at home: Rochdale
25.04.26
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.10.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
2
L
25.03.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
4
L
16.12.23
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
05.04.14
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
01.12.12
H2H
Rochdale
York
2
3
L
Last matches: York
11.04.26
Nat
York
Tamworth
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
York
Boston United
1
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
York
Gateshead
1
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
3
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
York
Boreham Wood
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
York
Morecambe
1
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
York
Scunthorpe
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
York
Wealdstone
3
0
W
31.01.26
Nat
York
Solihull Moors
2
0
W
21.01.26
Nat
York
Carlisle
3
0
W
10.01.26
Nat
York
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
13.12.25
FA
York
Clitheroe
1
1
D
22.11.25
Nat
York
Brackley Town
3
2
W
08.11.25
Nat
York
Eastleigh
4
2
W
01.11.25
FA
York
Barnsley
2
3
L
25.10.25
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
1
1
D
11.10.25
FA
York
Rochdale
2
1
W
04.10.25
Nat
York
Hartlepool
2
1
W
27.09.25
Nat
York
Forest Green
1
1
D
H2H away: York
25.04.26
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.10.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
1
2
W
25.03.25
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
4
W
16.12.23
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
05.04.14
H2H
Rochdale
York
0
0
D
01.12.12
H2H
Rochdale
York
2
3
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
York Away
46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation