Rochdale vs York Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.3%
|
- |
Rochdale
York
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rochdale
48 matches
York
48 matches
| Rochdale | Statistic | York |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Wins | 34 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 90 | Goals For | 118 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.46 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward York having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward York. York look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Rochdale approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 105 points after 45 outings. They have recorded 33 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 85:39 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Dieseruvwe (25 goals), D. Rodney (8 goals), I. Henderson (8 goals), with creative support from T. Adebayo-Rowling (9 assists), D. Rodney (8 assists), E. Dieseruvwe (7 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 18 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
York approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 107 points after 45 outings. The return of 33 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 110:40, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Pearce (34 goals), J. Stones (16 goals), A. Newby (12 goals), with creative support from O. Banks (10 assists), O. Pearce (9 assists), J. Stones (7 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 1 times, York won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Rochdale's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
York
Away
|
46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Rochdale
Home
|
46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 3 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|