Rochdale vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
66.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Rochdale
Swindon Town
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rochdale
12 matches
Swindon Town
14 matches
| Rochdale | Statistic | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 16 | Goals For | 21 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.25 |
| 8.13 | Total Shots | 8.75 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rochdale expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Swindon Town in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swindon Town having the stronger overall control. Swindon Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Swindon Town. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Rochdale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Brown (1 goals), D. Moss (1 goals), C. Tasker (1 goals), with creative support from B. Adeeko (1 assists), Kane Taylor (1 assists), Ryan East (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 7 games and a place of 13, Swindon Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Drinan (4 goals), O. Clarke (1 goals), with creative support from S. Negru (1 assists), A. Munda (1 assists), J. Thomson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 4 times, Swindon Town won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Rochdale's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Swindon Town
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Rochdale
Home
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|