Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rochdale
49 matches
Scunthorpe
51 matches
| Rochdale | Statistic | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Wins | 26 |
| 8 | Draws | 13 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 91 | Goals For | 91 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 35 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 43 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 19 |
| 21 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 2-2, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scunthorpe having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Scunthorpe. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Rochdale enter this tie with a season profile built on 106 points from 46 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 33 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses plus a goal ratio of 88:41, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on E. Dieseruvwe (26 goals), D. Rodney (8 goals), I. Henderson (8 goals), with creative support from T. Adebayo-Rowling (9 assists), D. Rodney (8 assists), E. Dieseruvwe (7 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 18 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Scunthorpe arrive from a league campaign that has them 5 with 82 points after 46 matches. Their record of 23 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 77:62 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on C. Roberts (19 goals), D. Whitehall (17 goals), D. Howe (12 goals), with creative support from C. Roberts (8 assists), D. Whitehall (6 assists), T. Denton (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 6 times, Scunthorpe won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Rochdale's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Lineups
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
Rochdale
York
Rochdale
Braintree
Rochdale
Wealdstone
Rochdale
Hartlepool
Rochdale
Morecambe
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Tamworth
Rochdale
Southend
Rochdale
Eastleigh
Rochdale
Boston United
Rochdale
Brackley Town
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
Rochdale
Woking
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
Forest Green
Rochdale
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Southend
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
Scunthorpe
Wealdstone
Scunthorpe
Brackley Town
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
FC Halifax Town
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Braintree
Scunthorpe
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
Scunthorpe
Sutton Utd
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
Scunthorpe
York
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Boston United
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Southend
Rochdale
York
Rochdale
Wealdstone
Rochdale
Morecambe
Rochdale
Tamworth
Rochdale
Boston United
Rochdale
Brackley Town
Rochdale
Woking
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Forest Green
Rochdale
Carlisle
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
Rochdale
Southend
Rochdale
Truro City
Rochdale
Hartlepool
Rochdale
Eastleigh
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
York
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Scunthorpe
Wealdstone
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
Scunthorpe
FC Halifax Town
Scunthorpe
Braintree
Scunthorpe
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Boreham Wood
Scunthorpe
Morecambe
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
Woking
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
Scunthorpe
Blackpool
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
Scunthorpe
Boston United
Scunthorpe
York
Scunthorpe
Southend
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Rochdale
Home
|
46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 3 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Scunthorpe
Away
|
46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|