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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 11:30
Spotland
Rochdale
Match Timeline
Oldham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
D. Moss · Assist: K. Taylor
Rochdale
🔄
46'
K. Payne ↔ C. Kavanagh
Oldham
🔄
57'
J. Smith ↔ L. Hannant
Rochdale
⚽
63'
D. Brown · Assist: B. Adeeko
Rochdale
🔄
66'
D. Daniels ↔ L. Temple
Oldham
🔄
66'
F. Fawunmi ↔ J. Hawkes
Oldham
🔄
67'
K. Wilson ↔ L. Maguire
Rochdale
🔄
67'
D. Moss ↔ T. Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale
🔄
77'
K. Taylor ↔ E. Francis
Rochdale
🔄
77'
D. Brown ↔ E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale

Rochdale vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 45.2%
Draw 8.5%
Oldham Win 46.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.28
Oldham1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Oldham Oldham
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.4
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
2.5
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 10 matches
Oldham Oldham 10 matches
Rochdale Statistic Oldham
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
6 Losses 6
12 Goals For 14
20 Goals Against 14
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4.83
7.67 Total Shots 13.83
4.17 Corners 5.33
53.7% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Oldham's more proactive style and Rochdale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rochdale have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Oldham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 7 points while Rochdale sit 22 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oldham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rochdale Analysis

Rochdale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 3 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:10 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Ethan Ebanks-Landell (1 goals), C. Tasker (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan East (1 assists), G. Middleton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham sit 10 with 7 points after 5 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kavanagh (1 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), E. Nevitt (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 3 times, Oldham won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Rochdale's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Rochdale 4-2-3-1 / Oldham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 3, draws 6, Oldham wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League