Rochdale vs Grimsby H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsRochdale vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Rochdale
Grimsby
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rochdale
15 matches
Grimsby
18 matches
| Rochdale | Statistic | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 20 | Goals For | 27 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.45 |
| 9.27 | Total Shots | 14.91 |
| 4.64 | Corners | 6.36 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Grimsby's more proactive style and Rochdale's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rochdale expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Grimsby. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Grimsby arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
From their first 10 matches, Rochdale have collected 14 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 11:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Brown (3 goals), C. Tasker (1 goals), A. Flint (1 goals), with creative support from G. Middleton (2 assists), D. Brown (1 assists), C. Tasker (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grimsby approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 13 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 13:11 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Green (3 goals), Iwan Morgan (1 goals), G. Turi (1 goals), with creative support from Iwan Morgan (2 assists), K. Green (1 assists), G. Turi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 2 times, Grimsby won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Rochdale's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 10 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Grimsby
Away
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 20 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 19 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 18 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 20 |
Rochdale
Home
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 |
W
D
L
L
D
|