Rochdale
Match Timeline
Carlisle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 0%
Draw 0%
Carlisle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.64
Carlisle1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale
WWDLW
56 GF / 21 GA
Carlisle
WLDWL
63 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.85
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
14
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rochdale
30 matches
Carlisle
34 matches
| Rochdale | Statistic | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 21 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 56 | Goals For | 63 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 21% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 6 times, Carlisle won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Rochdale's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 6, draws 2, Carlisle wins 3
Lineups
Rochdale
Formation
Carlisle
O. Whatmuff
K. Gordon
E. Ebanks-Landell
C. Perry
T. Adebayo-Rowling
R. East
H. Gilmour
A. Barlow
D. Moss
D. Rodney
E. Dieseruvwe
G. Breeze
J. Williams
B. Mugabi
M. Feeney
R. Galvin
J. Ellis
A. Gilliead
D. Ajiboye
H. Macadam
E. Embleton
L. Armstrong
Rochdale
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Whatmuff
2
K. Gordon
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
25
C. Perry
14
T. Adebayo-Rowling
4
R. East
↓ 79'
8
H. Gilmour
18
A. Barlow
🎯 41'
↓ 88'
🟨 80'
22
D. Moss
⚽ 41'
10
D. Rodney
↓ 69'
9
E. Dieseruvwe
↓ 79'
Substitutes
7
T. Allarakhia
16
C. Pettit
↑ 79'
17
J. Pritchard
↑ 69'
21
C. McBride
23
B. J. Hosannah
↑ 88'
30
I. Duku
40
I. Henderson
↑ 79'
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
22
J. Williams
26
B. Mugabi
5
M. Feeney
12
R. Galvin
🟨 41'
18
J. Ellis
↓ 71'
20
A. Gilliead
7
D. Ajiboye
↓ 85'
37
H. Macadam
14
E. Embleton
↓ 85'
🟨 83'
29
L. Armstrong
Substitutes
13
A. Mair
3
C. Harper
6
A. Hayden
16
S. Wearne
23
C. Wyke
↑ 85'
30
H. Parker
↑ 85'
38
C. Conn-Clarke
↑ 71'
Last matches: Rochdale
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
H2H: Rochdale vs Carlisle
07.02.26
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
27.09.25
H2H
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
2
W
27.07.24
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
W
28.01.23
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
1
L
03.09.22
H2H
Carlisle
Rochdale
3
3
D
29.03.22
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
0
W
01.03.22
H2H
Carlisle
Rochdale
2
0
L
27.08.19
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
W
03.12.16
H2H
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
2
W
06.03.12
H2H
Carlisle
Rochdale
2
1
L
16.08.11
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
0
D
Last matches: Rochdale
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
3
0
W
17.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
2
1
W
03.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
4
1
W
27.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Truro City
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
1
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
2
0
W
15.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
1
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
H2H at home: Rochdale
07.02.26
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
W
28.01.23
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
1
L
29.03.22
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
0
W
27.08.19
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
W
16.08.11
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
0
D
Last matches: Carlisle
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
17.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
10.01.26
FA
Carlisle
Chatham Town
0
1
L
26.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
3
0
W
21.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Harborough Town
2
1
W
07.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Blackpool
1
4
L
22.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
2
1
W
08.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Carlisle
Reading
3
2
W
H2H away: Carlisle
07.02.26
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
L
28.01.23
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
1
W
29.03.22
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
0
L
27.08.19
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
2
1
L
16.08.11
H2H
Rochdale
Carlisle
0
0
D
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Rochdale
Home
|
46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Away
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation