24.05.2026 18:30
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Referee: Y. Perez
River Plate
Match Timeline
Belgrano Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Franco Armani
River Plate
🟨
3'
Aníbal Moreno
River Plate
18'
F. Colidio · Assist: T. Galvan
River Plate
26'
L. Morales · Assist: L. Zelarayan
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
46'
A. Maldonado ↔ A. Ocampo
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
48'
Lucas Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba
60'
T. Galvan · Assist: F. Colidio
River Plate
🔄
63'
S. Longo ↔ F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
63'
J. Velazquez ↔ R. Hernandes
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
70'
M. Acuna ↔ G. Pezzella
River Plate
🟨
74'
Adrián Sánchez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
76'
L. Passerini ↔ N. Fernandez
Belgrano Cordoba
VAR
81'
Nicolás Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
85'
N. Fernandez
Belgrano Cordoba
88'
N. Fernandez · Assist: F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
89'
J. Meza ↔ J. Quintero
River Plate
🟨
90+4'
Franco Vázquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
90+2'
A. Moreno ↔ M. Salas
River Plate
🔄
90+2'
T. Galvan ↔ K. Paez
River Plate
🔄
90+1'
E. Rigoni ↔ F. Ricca
Belgrano Cordoba

River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 40.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
40.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 63.9%
Draw 9.5%
Belgrano Cordoba Win 26.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.08
Belgrano Cordoba0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
28 GF / 13 GA
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
5.68
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 21 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 20 matches
River Plate Statistic Belgrano Cordoba
13 Wins 10
3 Draws 6
5 Losses 4
28 Goals For 24
13 Goals Against 14
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
6 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 5
5.68 Shots On Goal 3.42
17.11 Total Shots 11.42
5.74 Corners 3.53
65.3% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. River Plate hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-0, so Belgrano Cordoba now have a 3-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, River Plate had more of the ball in the first leg (67% possession compared to 33%). River Plate were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 3. River Plate also attempted more passes (521 to 256) and completed 440. River Plate arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 152 points compared to Belgrano Cordoba in 17 on 112, which underlines the gap in season consistency. River Plate come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with River Plate expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Belgrano Cordoba in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Belgrano Cordoba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Belgrano Cordoba.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate enter this tie with a season profile built on 152 points from 89 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking influence is driven by S. Driussi (5 goals), F. Colidio (4 goals), G. Montiel (4 goals), with creative support from J. Quintero (3 assists), A. Moreno (3 assists), F. Colidio (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba come into this tie placed 17 in their league with 112 points from 89 matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at 0:0 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on L. Zelarayan (4 goals), F. Gonzalez (3 goals), F. Vazquez (2 goals), with creative support from L. Passerini (6 assists), N. Fernandez (4 assists), E. Rigoni (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 6 times, Belgrano Cordoba won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from River Plate's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-1-3-2 / Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: River Plate wins 6, draws 1, Belgrano Cordoba wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase