16.08.2026 21:00
Estadio Monumental
Referee: F. Tello
River Plate
Match Timeline
Argentinos JRS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Kevin Gutiérrez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
34'
Sebastián Prieto
Argentinos JRS
37'
G. Montiel
River Plate
🟨
40'
Thiago Almada
River Plate
🔄
51'
G. Montiel ↔ G. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
60'
K. Gutierrez ↔ G. Florentin
Argentinos JRS
🔄
60'
E. Viveros ↔ F. Jainikoski
Argentinos JRS
🔄
62'
L. Beltran ↔ R. Borre
River Plate
🔄
63'
J. Freitas ↔ Fausto Vera
River Plate
🔄
69'
N. Oroz ↔ I. Morales
Argentinos JRS
🟨
82'
Kevin Coronel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
82'
H. Lopez ↔ M. Gimenez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
82'
K. Coronel ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
83'
T. Almada ↔ L. Rivero
River Plate
🔄
83'
T. Andrada ↔ T. Galvan
River Plate
VAR
87'
Ángel Correa
River Plate
89'
A. Correa
River Plate

River Plate vs Argentinos JRS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 25.7%
Draw 14.4%
Argentinos JRS Win 60%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1
Argentinos JRS1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
33 GF / 25 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
32 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
8
5.25
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 28 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 26 matches
River Plate Statistic Argentinos JRS
13 Wins 15
4 Draws 7
11 Losses 4
33 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 19
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
9 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 5
5.25 Shots On Goal 5.2
16.33 Total Shots 13.92
5.83 Corners 5.44
66% Ball Possession 62.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Argentinos JRS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with River Plate expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentinos JRS. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 29 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Sebastián Driussi (2 goals), Juan Fernando Quintero (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), Joaquín Freitas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 29 points after 16 matches. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 17:13, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Tomás Molina (3 goals), Alan Lescano (3 goals), Francisco Álvarez (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Molina (2 assists), Sebastián Prieto (2 assists), Hernán López Muñoz (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 6 times, Argentinos JRS won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from River Plate's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: River Plate wins 6, draws 4, Argentinos JRS wins 4

Standings

Clausura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 3 2 13:9 4 18
L D D W D
2 10 5 3 2 11:8 3 18
W W D L D
3 10 5 2 3 15:15 0 17
D D W W L
4 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
W D D D L
5 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
W W D D D
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L D W L W
7 9 4 2 3 13:13 0 14
W L W D L
8 9 3 4 2 7:5 2 13
L W D D W
9 10 4 1 5 13:12 1 13
L W W W D
10 9 3 3 3 7:6 1 12
L L D W D
11 9 3 3 3 5:6 -1 12
D D D L L
12 10 2 3 5 11:16 -5 9
D D L L L
13 10 2 2 6 11:16 -5 8
W L L L D
14 10 1 3 6 5:13 -8 6
L L L D D
15 9 1 2 6 11:16 -5 5
L W L L D
Knockout Phase