BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Rio Branco ES
Match Timeline
Vitória ES
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Patrick
Vitória ES
72'
Patrick
Vitória ES
🟥
88'
Diego Guerra
Vitória ES
🟥
90+4'
Canario
Vitória ES

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rio Branco ES Win 59.1%
Draw 8.5%
Vitória ES Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Branco ES1.17
Vitória ES1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Vitória ES Vitória ES
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 7 matches
Vitória ES Vitória ES 7 matches
Rio Branco ES Statistic Vitória ES
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
9 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 7
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vitória ES having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vitória ES. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rio Branco ES Analysis

Rio Branco ES arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 10 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Breninho (2 goals), Victor Braga (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Vitória ES Analysis

Vitória ES come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Araujo (2 goals), Tony (2 goals), Abuda (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Branco ES won 5 times, Vitória ES won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Rio Branco ES's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
H2H summary: Rio Branco ES wins 5, draws 7, Vitória ES wins 3
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
Last matches: Vitória ES
27.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Ipatinga
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Ipatinga
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
1
L
H2H: Rio Branco ES vs Vitória ES
24.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
13.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
18.04.26
H2H
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
W
22.01.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
22.01.25
H2H
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
W
07.08.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
08.06.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
0
W
26.02.23
H2H
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
0
1
W
19.02.22
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
15.12.20
H2H
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
W
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
21.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
04.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Rio Branco ES
24.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
13.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
22.01.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
07.08.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
2
L
08.06.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
0
W
19.02.22
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
Last matches: Vitória ES
27.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Ipatinga
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
3
1
W
H2H away: Vitória ES
24.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
W
13.05.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
22.01.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
1
W
21.05.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
07.08.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
2
W
08.06.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
0
L
19.02.22
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
2
D