Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
73.8%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 48.7%
Draw 25.1%
Tondela Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.8
Tondela1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Tondela
WLDWL
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rio Ave
3 matches
Tondela
6 matches
| Rio Ave | Statistic | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 6 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 6 times, Tondela won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Rio Ave's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.9%)
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Tondela -
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 6, draws 5, Tondela wins 4
Last matches: Rio Ave
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
Last matches: Tondela
29.07.26
Fri
Tondela
São João Ver
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Beira-Mar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Academica
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Varzim
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Guimaraes
0
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tondela
AVS
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
H2H: Rio Ave vs Tondela
09.03.26
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
W
12.01.22
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
0
1
L
09.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
1
D
22.02.20
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
2
W
15.09.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
4
L
01.02.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
2
D
26.08.18
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
1
D
16.04.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
1
D
02.12.17
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
3
W
15.04.17
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
2
1
L
03.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
30.04.16
H2H
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.01.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
3
L
Last matches: Rio Ave
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
L
30.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
0
4
L
05.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rio Ave
05.10.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
W
12.01.22
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
0
1
L
09.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
4
L
01.02.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
2
D
16.04.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
03.01.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
3
L
Last matches: Tondela
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Guimaraes
0
5
L
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
0
1
L
15.12.25
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Tondela
AVS
2
2
D
05.10.25
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
3
L
27.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Tondela
Benfica
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Tondela
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H away: Tondela
05.10.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
L
12.01.22
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
0
1
W
09.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
1
L
15.09.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
4
W
01.02.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
2
D
16.04.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
L
03.01.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Tondela
2
3
W
Showing odds from: Bet365
MATCH WINNER
Home
1.91
Draw
3.50
Away
3.30
HOME/AWAY
Home
1.44
Away
2.62
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -0.5
1.98
Away -0.5
1.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
HT/FT DOUBLE
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
3.00
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
EXACT SCORE
1:0
9.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
15.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
29.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
13.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
126.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
81.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
81.00
6:0
126.00
6:1
126.00
4:3
67.00
5:3
151.00
4:4
151.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home
2.50
Draw
2.30
Away
3.75
TEAM TO SCORE FIRST
Home
1.67
Away
2.25
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -0.25
2.05
Away -0.25
1.75
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.50
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
1:0
4.33
2:0
10.00
2:1
19.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
3.20
1:1
7.50
2:2
41.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
151.00
GOAL LINE
Over 2.75
1.90
Under 2.75
1.90
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home
1.91
Draw
3.50
Away
3.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home
2.50
Draw
2.30
Away
3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10