01.08.2026 14:30
Rio Ave
Match Timeline
Tondela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Tondela
Tondela
47'
J. Blesa
Rio Ave
54'
Diogo Bezerra
Rio Ave
90'
Samuel
Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Tondela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 48.7%
Draw 25.1%
Tondela Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.8
Tondela1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Tondela Tondela
WLDWL
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 3 matches
Tondela Tondela 6 matches
Rio Ave Statistic Tondela
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
7 Goals For 6
3 Goals Against 6
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 7 times, Tondela won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Rio Ave's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.9%)
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Tondela -
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 7, draws 5, Tondela wins 3